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We're seeing declining asset prices from bond to equities, and in some cases, real assets because of higher inflation. We are seeing early signs that inflation is starting to moderate. Equity market is currently pricing in the probability of a mild recession. For further det...
We haven’t even started to see real house price declines or other real asset price declines from refinancing hurdles. The big story in crypto this week is the collapse of Terra, the third biggest stable coin. All stable coins are forms of a currency peg. Here’s an al...
The Fed takes a potentially aggressive path in an effort to tame inflation. Investors fear a recession may be on the horizon. We’ve looked at how stocks tend to perform in the period between yield curve inversions and the start of a recession (when it has occurred). Given t...
Just when we thought the world economy was regaining its footing, a military conflict in Europe has led us to reconsider our outlook for growth and inflation. In light of Russia’s invasion, we developed a framework for thinking about the economic impact of the conflict on the e...
With 10 basis points left to make bond market history, the 10-year Treasury yield closed on Friday a tad over 3.142%. In the past 40 years, no Fed rate hiking cycle saw the 10-year rate exceed the high from the prior Fed rate-hiking cycle. While inflation is not as bad as it was i...
Sentiment on the part of small businesses held firm in April instead of the further decline that was expected. The headline index came in unchanged at 93.2, versus estimates of a 0.3-point decline to 92.9. The percentage of respondents reporting inflation as their firm’s bi...
Predictions a few weeks ago of peak gasoline prices have been obviated by the inflationary mindset. Gasoline futures have been breath-takingly volatile since February, with huge spikes and drops, that led to a new record on Friday, but on Monday, they fell from that record. Gap be...
US small business optimism held steady in April after three consecutive falls. Nonetheless, businesses retain the ability to pass higher costs onto their customers, and this will keep inflation sticky. Ongoing supply chain issues and rising fuel costs mean 2% inflation is a distan...
Tightening financial conditions could mean markets see less of a need to hike rates. It is still early days, and previous signs of worsening economic outlooks were met with a shrug by rates markets. Supply is also clouding the picture, but further curve bull-steepening would be a ...
There was a lot of volatility in stocks last week but in the end, the S&P 500 was down a mere 21 basis points. A rising currency is presumably negative for the export sector and positive for domestic purchasing power. On a sector basis, there were several winners last week wit...
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2024-07-21 20:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-11 17:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
A look at the top 10 most actives in the United States Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc. (FFIE) rose 20.9% to $0.5541 on volume of 173,316,620 shares Assure Holdings Corp. (IONM) rose 114.1% to $0.496799 on volume of 118,668,589 shares NLS Pharmaceutics Ltd. (NLSP) rose 67.6% to $0...