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This year has seen significant volatility in credit markets given the tumultuous macroeconomic backdrop and hawkish Federal Reserve. Investment-grade bonds, bank loans, and high-yield bonds could perform differently now than in prior risk-off periods due to asset class-specific develo...
Fifteen years ago, my chart look-ahead was about three years, to 2010, with the basic idea being that these long-term cycles had already turned or were about to turn. I underestimated the status quo's ability to kick the can down the road for a decade. After 15 years of frantic ca...
Are investors afraid that the Federal Reserve is behind the curve in terms of fighting inflation? When the Fed first announced its rate decision on May 4, bond investors didn’t show a great deal of reaction. The 50bps rate hike was as expected. For starters, the Fed had jus...
The government shut down large sections of the economy in reaction to a pandemic. The government-driven economic collapse prompted the Fed to create several trillion new dollars out of nothing. The government showered the population with money, and as a result, the 2020 recession ...
The initial roaring rebound in markets from the initial Covid shock in Spring 2020 promised a quick return to “normal”. But stocks are still falling and yields are still rising, leaving investors with little in the way of a place to hide. Our response to the pandemic lef...
Among the most challenging aspects of late has been to try and hold a positive medium-term (one- to three-year) view in the midst of very aggressive, downward-facing, fast-moving, cross-asset selloffs. While inflation does seem to have peaked along with expectations and breakevens, th...
The overall global economic slowdown, plus China’s Covid lockdowns, are taking a toll. Apple and GE have warned their distributors about production and delivery problems due to China. Another example is falling vehicle sales in April in China for BMW, VW Group, and Tesla. Since...
Business leaders have two concerns about inflation: their own particular selling prices and costs, and the general trend for inflation. The general trend is important information in business strategy and also helps managers understand the direction that their particular prices are hea...
Over the past week, various U.S. Federal Reserve officials have suggested that their first 50-basis point rate hike in 20 years is likely to be followed by more, but that a 75-basis point hike isn’t currently on the table. The U.S. economy grew by 5.7% in 2021. The Fed’s...
We recently cut risk, but stick with stocks over bonds for now. Equity prices now reflect much of the worsening macro outlook and hawkish Fed, in our view. Markets came to grips last week with the trade-off central banks face: choke off growth or live with inflation. Yields fell and s...
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2024-07-21 20:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-11 17:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
A look at the top 10 most actives in the United States Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc. (FFIE) rose 20.9% to $0.5541 on volume of 173,316,620 shares Assure Holdings Corp. (IONM) rose 114.1% to $0.496799 on volume of 118,668,589 shares NLS Pharmaceutics Ltd. (NLSP) rose 67.6% to $0...