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I've been covering the explosive growth of M2 for almost two years now, and I'm very happy to report that M2 is no longer exploding. In fact, its annualized growth rate over the past 3 months has fallen to a mere 1.3%, down from its all-time, year-over-year high of 26.9% in February o...
Central banks are facing a growth-inflation trade-off. Hiking interest rates too much risks triggering a recession, while not tightening enough risks causing runaway inflation. The Fed has made it clear it is ready to dampen growth. Implication: We are neutral developed market (DM) equiti...
After months of higher Treasury yields, the possibility that rates have peaked is a topical discussion, fueled by easing rates in recent days. Fed funds futures are still estimating a high probability that the central bank will lift rates again at the June 15 FOMC meeting. Key upd...
How similar will the next three or five years look from the years that immediately preceded the pandemic? And what are the implications for us as global equity investors? We don’t expect anything like the hyperinflation and stagflation we experienced in the 1970s; our outlook s...
The Fed and financial markets are experiencing a long overdue reality check on inflation and interest rates. High inflation has taken a toll on purchasing power and will hurt household consumption, even though real income still exceeds pre-pandemic levels. Once markets realize the...
Give peace a chance: how has the global outlook evolved? How has the sand shifted under supply chains? Stagflation. Is it coming? For further details see: TD Chief Economist On The Shifting Economic And Financial Outlook
The Federal Reserve has talked a lot about fighting inflation. But what has it actually done? While the Fed has ended the massive quantitative easing program that it ran during the pandemic, it pushed balance sheet reduction back from May until June. The balance sheet peaked at $8...
The S&P 500 held the 3,800 level last week – a key Fibonacci retracement level for the technically inclined investor – thus, with falling inflation expectations, the stock market could turn friendlier quickly. In addition to the S&P 500’s retracement level...
The influence of energy prices is always a significant input for consumer inflation, and that’s certainly been true recently. The spike in oil has eased in recent months, which implies that headline CPI will decline in the months ahead. It’s also possible that energy...
One indication that inflation may calm down is the rather precipitous decline in M2 money supply growth. In the pandemic, federal loan guarantees in coordination with the Fed directly affected money supply growth. From a purely statistical perspective, the stock market has made to...
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2024-07-21 20:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-11 17:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
A look at the top 10 most actives in the United States Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc. (FFIE) rose 20.9% to $0.5541 on volume of 173,316,620 shares Assure Holdings Corp. (IONM) rose 114.1% to $0.496799 on volume of 118,668,589 shares NLS Pharmaceutics Ltd. (NLSP) rose 67.6% to $0...