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A weakening labor market would normally get the Fed to turn dovish. However, Mr. Powell and the Fed cannot turn dovish imminently. Nevertheless, Wall Street is still hoping that the Fed put is nigh. But record-high inflation is the primary problem facing consumers and corporations. Ch...
Despite their general discontent, most people don’t seem to think a severe economic downturn is imminent - despite many warning signs. There are certainly many factors, but one likely reason people can’t see the train hurtling down the tracks is a psychological phenomeno...
In both the US and eurozone, central bank officials have started to talk about neutral interest rates again. The concept of a neutral interest rate is often used to describe the stance of monetary policy. Neutral interest rates can be used as an analytical tool, after the fact, to...
While some doomsday-er economists are expecting a deeply destructive hurricane (deep recession), others are only seeing a mild drizzle (soft landing) developing. Stock market veterans understand that stock prices can go down when current economic news is sunny but future expectations ...
Plans to relocate manufacturing operations to a second or third country could prove costly and complex in face of realities of the pandemic era. Reshoring of operations needs to consider a variety of challenges from infrastructure to availability of skilled workforce and rising wages ...
Monetary-inflation-always economists start with good definitions. They distinguish inflation from relative price changes. Nobody denies that supply shocks can affect relative prices. The purpose of economic theory is to do economic history. For further details see: Yes, ...
According to the leading indicators of economic growth, the business cycle looks set to enter a period of material deceleration in the months ahead. This growth downturn is a continuation of the slowdown that began in the latter half of 2021. Combined with this downturn in growth, the...
The robust recovery from the pandemic recession has pushed U.S. inflation to a multi-decade high. Inflation expectations are showing signs of moving higher, aided by strong labor demand. Rai: Our baseline forecast is for the Fed to achieve a "soft landing". For further detai...
In the same way inflation has roiled financial markets on its way up, it also has the potential to impact them on the way down, should it come down. Our view is that inflation is nearing a cyclical peak, and we expect it to begin cooling off from here. We’re keeping an eye ...
A slew of manufacturing PMIs supports the view that the US and, indeed the entire global economy is faltering. The bear market should continue until a sufficient amount of disinflation is manifest. In response to the upcoming recession, expect the Fed, Treasury, and D.C. to coordi...
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2024-07-21 20:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-11 17:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
A look at the top 10 most actives in the United States Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc. (FFIE) rose 20.9% to $0.5541 on volume of 173,316,620 shares Assure Holdings Corp. (IONM) rose 114.1% to $0.496799 on volume of 118,668,589 shares NLS Pharmaceutics Ltd. (NLSP) rose 67.6% to $0...