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High inflation is a symptom of an economy that’s in transition, an economy that’s out of whack. The U.S. Household Savings Rate, which has hovered around 5% for most of this century, spiked to almost 35% in the first weeks of the pandemic. To protect the economy from...
The consumer is saying in polls that the economy stinks, but I think they mean inflation stinks. To get inflation under control, we need to get the price of oil lower. A resolution in the Ukraine would help the economy more than anything that the Fed can do. The Fed will keep rais...
Trafigura and Goldman Sachs see oil at $140 or more. Central bank projections are more rosy. Inflation could hit 15% in the US; ECB wrong again. US inventories highlight a supply crunch. For further details see: Get Ready For $150-200 Oil And Higher Inflation
When the Fed talks about fighting inflation, it is important to understand that it is talking about core inflation. What the Fed hopes is that by raising rates, it can influence consumer demand in such a way as to bring down price levels for a broad range of goods and services outside...
While I’m optimistic that inflation will fall over the next year, this belief is formed with the expectation that the stance of monetary policy should and will remain tight. In the last few weeks, the Federal Reserve has modestly begun to reduce its balance sheet. The opaqu...
More Americans say they hear mostly negative news about the economy than hear positive news, or a balance of positive and negative. In many countries, a recession is defined as two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth. There is indeed a sense in which high inflation can lea...
There are a number of signals that the US economy is getting weaker even as inflation gets stronger. In other words, we are hurtling toward stagflation. Target announced plans to cancel orders from suppliers and slash prices to clear out amassed inventory. All the data points to o...
Much Fed and commentator thinking relies on the Phillips curve. It's the central way interest rates affect inflation, in conventional thinking. High interest rates raise real interest rates lower aggregate demand cause unemployment, which causes, via the Phillips curve, lower inflatio...
The first problem with the view that inflation is largely a consequence of supply-chain issues concerns the timing of inflation. The second problem concerns the way in which prices have (and are projected to) evolve. Inflation can be a serious problem, especially if it becomes per...
There is an actual and vast difference between inflation and “inflation.” And in the final results, that difference isn’t strictly or even mainly about consumer prices. Despite entering the holiday season with a third more inventory than during 2019’s Chris...
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2024-07-21 20:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-11 17:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
A look at the top 10 most actives in the United States Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc. (FFIE) rose 20.9% to $0.5541 on volume of 173,316,620 shares Assure Holdings Corp. (IONM) rose 114.1% to $0.496799 on volume of 118,668,589 shares NLS Pharmaceutics Ltd. (NLSP) rose 67.6% to $0...