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When pricing pressure finally ebbs, the pressure on rate hikes and the headwinds for the economy will ease, if only on the margins. The Fed’s increasingly aggressive rate hikes, combined with a sharp slowing in money-supply growth offer reasons for hope. There’s stil...
The only way to raise living standards over the long term is to raise productivity, and central banks don’t do that. Central banks move demand around by providing and withdrawing spending power by influencing the creation and amounts of debt assets and debt liabilities. The...
We see the Fed on a path to raise rates far enough this year to hurt growth. The U.S. activity restart from the pandemic could grind to a halt in coming quarters. The Fed lifted rates by 0.75% in a rush to normalize policy, its biggest hike since 1994. Other central banks joined, send...
During the height of the pandemic, consumers bought more goods than before because access to certain services was constrained, which exacerbated the problem with supply chains. As the service industry restaffs, especially in the hospitality and travel sectors, a considerable number of...
Through the end of the trading week ending 17 June 2022, the S&P index was 23.4% below its 3 January 2022 record high peak. From our perspective, after the May 2022 inflation report came in higher than expected, investors sent the S&P 500 lower in a new Lévy flight event,...
An oil price and energy stock price reversion may be starting. Higher oil prices benefit oil companies by making the extraction process more profitable. Unfortunately, if history repeats, it won’t be just oil prices and energy stocks that get brought down in the process. ...
An update on inflation and the global energy situation. A look at how and why US recession indicators are picking up quickly. Why a recession is unlikely to be a permanent cure for inflation. For further details see: Demand Destruction
Fed officials raised their projections for inflation this week. The median FOMC member’s projection of inflation has increased every quarter since June 2020. It raised its federal funds rate target by 75 basis points on June 15, even though Chair Powell seemed to have ruled...
The central bank leader cited recent inflation numbers and rising inflation expectations as drivers of the bigger move. Optionality or no optionality, the Fed will keep hiking for the time being. We expect economic growth to slow by more than the Fed anticipates. For further...
Fed Chair Jerome Powell this week took the podium in a very weak position. Powell acknowledged that the recent rise in inflation expectations had played a key role in swinging the decision to a larger hike. Acknowledging that policy will be driven by a very uncertain data flow giv...
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2024-07-21 20:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-11 17:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
A look at the top 10 most actives in the United States Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc. (FFIE) rose 20.9% to $0.5541 on volume of 173,316,620 shares Assure Holdings Corp. (IONM) rose 114.1% to $0.496799 on volume of 118,668,589 shares NLS Pharmaceutics Ltd. (NLSP) rose 67.6% to $0...