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Energy inflation could be volatile. The energy supply situation is particularly dire due to the proximity of the Ukraine crisis. Consumer prices could stay hot well into the winter — and many investors appear unprepared. By Thanos Bardas, PhD; Olumide Owolabi; &...
MMT Policy (Modern Monetary Theory), the grand experiment, was tried following the pandemic-driven shutdown of the economy. While MMT policy proponents suggest that giving free money will boost economic equality, the opposite is the case, as shown by the net worth of the top 10% versu...
The coming recession: Deep or shallow? Markets pricing in rate cut in 2023. Overly optimistic? Will 2023 be the rebound year for bonds? The risk of recession grows as the U.S. Fed continues its war against inflation. Michael Craig, Head of Asset Allocation, TDAM ...
Inflation is far above the Fed’s long-run target of two percent and is expected to remain so. Chair Powell has repeatedly claimed that the Fed will use its tools to create price stability. So far, the FOMC’s actions as well as their own projections show that they are...
We've seen some moderation of the supply chain, and inflation expectations have stabilized. Challenge for investors and policymakers is what you do with core inflation being more sticky. Financial markets have priced in two cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2023. Wi...
Markets are undergoing a major shift. Central banks are focused more on inflation than liquidity. TD Wealth's Chief Wealth Strategist Brad Simpson explains. Brad Simpson, Chief Wealth Strategist with TD Wealth says that this is a "monumental" time for investors a...
A bottom-up model for inflation is straightforward to describe: it consists of attempting to build the best model for various components of the inflation index, and then combining those forecasts to get an overall inflation forecast. Although breaking off energy prices is not too cont...
The global economy and financial markets have suffered a dreadful H1 2022, ravaged by a severe commodity shock, strict COVID-19 lockdowns in the world’s second-largest economy, and one of the most aggressive Fed tightening cycles in recent history. H2 looks equally tough. In it...
Last week, the Labor Department announced that its CPI rose 1.3% in June, higher than the economists’ consensus estimate of 1.1%. But core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose only 0.7% in June and just 5.9% in the past 12 months. The main reason for a higher CPI number is that...
Based on monetary trends and the early reaction in the economy, we anticipate a slowing growth environment in the U.S., with rising recession risk that depends on the extent of frontloaded Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. Following the initial COVID shock in 2020, investment grade...
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2024-07-21 20:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-11 17:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
A look at the top 10 most actives in the United States Faraday Future Intelligent Electric Inc. (FFIE) rose 20.9% to $0.5541 on volume of 173,316,620 shares Assure Holdings Corp. (IONM) rose 114.1% to $0.496799 on volume of 118,668,589 shares NLS Pharmaceutics Ltd. (NLSP) rose 67.6% to $0...