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The invasion of Ukraine is an inflationary shock to an already inflationary system. The International Energy Agency has warned that the impact on oil supply will peak only from May onwards. Since the war broke out, core government bonds have suffered sustained price declines unsee...
Why oil prices may be 'coiling' before a potential breakout? The Russia-Ukraine conflict isn't the only geopolitical risk for oil. The case for $150 a barrel oil. For further details see: Is The Price Of Oil Ripe For A Breakout?
A ban on imports of Russian gas is currently viewed as the most difficult to deal with for European economies. The sanctions that are already in place and target the energy sector will increasingly affect Russia’s ability to produce and refine crude. Sanctions on banks and ...
OPEC output increased by 57 kb/d according to secondary sources in March 2022. Most of the increase in OPEC output was from Saudi Arabia (54 kb/d) followed by Kuwait (25 kb/d), and UAE (23 kb/d). Five OPEC members saw increases of less than 15 kb/d (total of 44 kb/d for that group of ...
In the following article reprinted from May 2020, Jim Puplava explained the difficulty OPEC nations face in producing more oil and why investors should position for a coming energy shock and much higher inflation. It is widely believed the Saudis could produce 12.5 million barrels a d...
Crude oil supply and demand issues are creating a bullish stance. Buying crude oil sensitive companies on weakness makes the most sense. Factors driving this bullish stance include: the Russian quandary, abandonments of sensible crude transportation between the US and Canada and w...
The broader equity categories turned in negative results in Q1. U.S. large-cap stocks, as measured by the S&P 500 Index, held up the best at a decline of 4.6%. Bonds performed worse than many of the equity categories, despite typically being viewed as a safe haven investment. In t...
Does the yield curve inversion cause a recession or does it just provide a signal? Is the inversion only about expected future monetary policy? Do other factors also influence the shape of the curve, and if so, can we disentangle the various factors? There is a lot that we don’...
Russia is a key supplier of refined products to OECD Europe, supplying about 39% of total imports according to the IEA. The natural gas market has provided support to middle distillates in two forms. If refiners are unable to increase middle distillate yields significantly, strong...
Inflation expectations have kept the Federal Reserve center stage as they commenced their interest rate rising cycle in March. The war in Ukraine and Omicron’s spread in China impacted inflation and supply chains differently, but both delay supply chain normalization. Regar...
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2024-07-01 20:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-01 12:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-01 22:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...