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Initial claims for regular state unemployment insurance fell 2,000 for the week ending August 13th, coming in at 250,000. The large downward revision for the prior week’s data combined with the latest week indicates that the recent sustained upward trend may be flattening. ...
Total employment has fully recovered all pandemic losses, but the labor force participation rate has not fully recovered. The employment count comes from every large corporation and a sample of small and medium businesses. The economy that has regained 100.1% of its past decline i...
We expect inflation to moderate to a lower level than where it is now by the end of the year, but still be uncomfortably above the Federal Reserve target. I believe there’s a good case to be made for investors getting into the market now; we just need to debate how and where. ...
Many investors like to use price-to-earnings ratios as a short-hand valuation tool for both individual equities and the broad stock market. Today, the S&P 500 Index sports a price-to-earnings ratio of 21 on trailing 12 months’ operating earnings and 18 on analyst estimates ...
Even if inflation slows, the Fed is unlikely to step off the rate hike gas. Why it's time to beware of the bear market rally. Inflation or slowing growth, which is the bigger risk? Equity markets have been climbing their way back from the lows reached in June. Th...
When the market was overly bearish, we got the current rally to 4300SPX. The market is going to decide how it will take shape for the next 18 months over the coming 2-3 months. We are looking for a specific set-up to point us back up towards the 5500SPX potential again. ...
Stocks continued to grind higher on better-than-expected earnings from retailers Walmart and Home Depot. Lower-end consumers have weathered inflation much better than the bearish consensus expected. Their increase in wealth and income have proved to be sufficient offsets to higher...
Can you simply buy stocks at any price and assume you’ll enjoy long-term returns on the order of 10% annually over the long-term? In a nutshell, long-term investment returns are driven by precisely three factors: long-term growth in fundamentals, the annualized change in valuat...
Economic slowdown but no recession! That message comes from the latest employment report, service sector data, and Federal Reserve. While James Bullard and others currently directing the monetary policy regime suggest they can quell inflation with only an economic slowdown, history su...
After plunging more than 22% from the start of the year through mid-June, U.S. equities in July had their biggest rally since November 2020 amid earnings reports that were generally stronger than forecasted. Several major factors drove the sell-off in equities to start the year. C...
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2024-06-21 21:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-11 07:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-09 17:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...