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Summary The Consumer Confidence Index from The Conference Board rose in August, the first increase following three consecutive monthly declines. The composite index increased by 7.9 points, or 8.3 percent to 103.2. From a year ago, the index is still down 10.4 percent. Both co...
Summary The Rule Of 20 says the bear market may just be resting despite much commentary to the contrary. With the Federal Reserve reversing that monetary accommodation, such poses a very significant, and likely unrealized, risk to investors. The rule peaked at the 2nd highest ...
Summary The Bull Case: A pullback into the 4165-4020 region. We then need to see the market hold this region and then turn back up to make one more high. The Bear Case: if we fail to make a new high above SPX 4330 and fall below the 4020 region then 2023 is likely setting up for a...
Summary Interest rates will move higher and remain in restrictive territory for longer than the market currently expects. The length of time required to drive inflation to low and stable levels remains uncertain. The Federal Open Market Committee expects the pace of rate incre...
Summary On 26 August 2022, Fed chair Jerome Powell spoke at the annual Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. His forceful language and deliberate references to the lessons of history laid to rest any hope that the Fed will shift away from its tightening strategy. Equity markets respond...
Summary NGDP is a much better indicator than inflation, but still not perfect. If we assume the key macro problem is business cycles created by nominal shocks interacting with sticky wages, then aggregate wage income may be a better cyclical indicator than NGDP. A mild slowdow...
Summary The latest bear market pullback is now underway. How low can we reasonably expect stocks to go in the coming weeks? Individual opportunities amid broader market weakness. The latest bear market pullback is now underway . After bottoming in mid-June, the U.S. ...
Summary Global securities finance revenues reached $6.1bn in the first half of 2022, an increase of 12% YoY. Global ETP lending revenues were $453mn for H1, continuing to set new all-time highs, representing a 48% YoY increase. 2022 is off to an impressive start for Securities...
Summary Two shocks pushed the economy off course in the second quarter - Russia's invasion of Ukraine on 24 February and COVID-19 lockdowns in mainland China. Although real GDP decreased slightly in the first two quarters of 2022, do not call it a recession! With global demand...
Summary New Omicron outbreaks in the context of Covid-zero policy, the housing slump, and heat waves have been holding up the pace of the Chinese economy. China’s current growth slowdown is an additional step in the trajectory of gradually declining rates that has accompani...
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2024-06-21 21:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-11 07:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-09 17:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...