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Summary Commodity markets have come under pressure due to a strengthening US dollar and a raft of central banks hiking interest rates recently. This has clouded the macro outlook. However, the supply picture for a number of commodities remains fragile. The EU appears to have a...
Summary We expect macro headwinds will continue to pressure U.S. corporate earnings in the coming months. We expect earnings expectations to decline as multinational firms realize foreign exchange headwinds that accelerated over the past year. Investors can avoid undue interna...
Summary Last week, the 2-year Treasury rate rose above 4.3%, the 10-year Treasury rose above 3.9%, and mortgage rates topped 7%, their highest level in 20 years. By reducing its balance sheet by $95 billion per month, the Fed has sent the 10-year rate substantially higher. The...
Summary YTD, the S&P 500 is now down 24% while bonds have their own double-digit losses. Like stock valuations, currency valuations aren’t great timing tools but over a 3-year period after becoming undervalued, the outperformance is strong. Consumer defensive stocks...
Summary We believe it is unlikely that Fed Chair Jerome Powell will navigate a pivot to a less-hawkish stance before early in 2023. We expect China to grow at a meager 2%-3% pace in 2022, with the potential for these risks to bleed into 2023, as a slowing developed-market consumer...
Summary In August 2022, Santos took Final Investment Decision for the DPD project which will now see future Barossa gas being sent straight to the onshore Darwin LNG plant. Prior to the DPD plans, the planned Barossa gas export pipeline was to tie into the existing Bayu-Undan GEP ...
Summary Powell’s speech last Wednesday raised recession fears. The Atlanta Fed revised its third-quarter GDP estimate down to a +0.3% annual pace, down from its previous estimate of a +0.5% annual pace. U.S. interest rates also shot up in response to the Fed Chair’s ...
Summary Even if the political landscape were to become temporarily supportive, it would be too risky to invest in anything other than small projects with rapid paybacks. Regime Uncertainty is a pervasive lack of confidence among investors in their ability to foresee the extent to ...
Summary The British pound UK gilts – the equivalent of U.S. Treasuries – had outsized moves on Friday with 10-year gilts surging as much as 50 basis points in a single day, while the pound cratered. The outsized Fed rate hikes in the middle of all this volatility are...
Summary While European and Asian natural gas prices have fallen significantly from their recent peak, they remain at exceptionally high levels. High Eurasian natural gas prices are having both short-term and long-term effects. If the trend toward lower costs for alternative en...
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Barclays Bank PLC iPath Series B Bloomberg Natural Gas Subindex Total Return ETN Company Name:
GAZ Stock Symbol:
NYSE Market:
Natural gas prices have soared to record highs this year due to a global energy crunch. Furthermore, because the EIA anticipates prices will remain high, at least through year’s end amid below-average inventories and rebounding demand, natural gas ETFs should benefit. We believe natura...
Barclays Bank PLC (“Barclays” or the “Issuer”) announced a temporary reduction of the minimum early redemption size of certain series of ETNs as specified in the table below (together, the “ETNs”). Currently holders of the ETNs are required to redeem...