Week Ahead: Eight Of The G10 Central Banks Meet, Maybe One Moves

2026-03-15 08:09:00 ET

The Middle East War dominates the investment climate. The inflationary implications are first-order considerations, and there has been a large swing in expectations of central bank policy this year. Japan is a notable exception as the swaps market continues to discount almost two hikes this year. Eight of the G10 central banks meet in the week ahead, and the risk is only one moves (Australia), where the futures market is discounting almost a 53% chance of a hike. Hawkish holds by the others seem like the most likely scenario, with the Federal Reserve adjusting its rhetoric in light of recent developments. The risks to its dual mandate are in both directions, and navigating the sequencing may be crucial to preserve what, by most accounts, is the famed soft landing....

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