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Since bonds are loans to borrowers, a bond’s interest rate is tied to the prevailing rate environment at the time of issuance. Historically speaking, from the time yield curves begin to invert, the span to the next recession runs roughly 9-months. However, note that yield curve...
US inflation continued to soar in May, with the Core Consumer Price Index up 0.7% month over month and 3.8% year over year. Fears around rising rates center on the rapidly recovering US economy, which will soon require tapering of purchases in the US Federal Reserve’s quantitat...
As of the June FOMC meeting, there are now seven policymakers projecting the first increase to occur in 2022, up from just four at the March gathering. It only needs three more members to move into the 2022 camp for the Fed Funds estimate to change. Investors did get to see a snap...
A more hawkish Fed may not lift Treasury or investment grade credit yields, and that raises important questions for fixed income investors and asset allocators. The central bank raised its inflation forecast for 2022. Should last week’s change of tone put some of those infl...
Ten-year government bond yields saw little volatility in May, with the largest move in either direction coming from France. Despite seeing small increases during the month, Dutch and German 10-year government bond yields still finished in negative territory at -0.04% and -0.18%, respe...
A taper would be only the first step on the path to an eventual interest rate hike, which we still think is unlikely until late 2022 or even 2023, depending on the economy’s trajectory. Lower real yields give the Fed more flexibility to taper - and allow nominal bond yields to ...
Initial signs may appear as base effects and higher commodity prices push headline inflation in advanced economies temporarily higher. With massive stimulus funds sloshing around the global economy, it's prudent to be prepared - and that means staying active. With the right strate...
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2024-07-31 23:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-21 22:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-21 22:08:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...