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The escalating US-China trade conflict is a wild card with unknown economic consequences. But even before factoring in this risk, the US economy is expected to post slower growth in the second quarter, based on a set of recent nowcasts. Output in Q2 is on track to decelerate to 2.1% via th...
Posted by Kristina Hooper, Chief Global Market Strategist on May 13, 2019, in Market & Economic Weekly Market Compass: Consumer spending could suffer as companies try to pass on price increases Last week took investors on a roller coaster ride. The climax came at the stro...
One of the most salient features of the 10-year-old bull market has been the recurrence of a pattern we’ve all seen many, many times. Basically, the pattern involves the sudden appearance of an unsettling headline event which takes investors off guard. This is followed by a sharp declin...
Since the beginning of 2019, the market has risen sharply. That increase was not due to rising earnings and revenues, which have weakened, but rather from multiple expansion. In other words, investors are willing to pay higher prices for weaker earnings. The issue, of course, is that while i...
A selloff in risk assets last week - driven by fading expectations for a U.S.-China trade deal - has shattered the calm after a prolonged period of low market volatility in 2019. We remain cautiously pro-risk, but see potential for further bouts of volatility in this late-cycle period. This ar...
By Brad Tank, Chief Investment Officer - Fixed Income Is the U.S.-China deal dead, and how bad might this get for risk assets? While our confidence that the U.S. and China would find a way to agree on trade has been growing , we always maintained that a failure to do so was the only g...
"They do have a dual mandate, Larry. They do have a dual mandate." That's what CNBC's David Faber told Larry Kudlow on April 26, after the advance read on Q1 GDP showed the US economy growing at a 3.2% clip in the first quarter. That friendly reminder from Faber was necessary because i...
As with IHS Markit and their estimations of Federal Reserve policy in the near future, we can't see any great evidence of a coming significant rise in interest rates nor a change in policy nor forward guidance. Moody's Analytics looks at an entirely different measure to come to much the same...
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2024-06-26 03:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-16 05:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-06 07:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...