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My own opinion is that the S&P 500 and the US equity market remain in a "secular" bull market that begin in either March 2009, or April 2013, when the S&P 500 traded over - and stayed above - the March 2000 and October 2007 highs for the S&P 500 of 1,550-1,575. While like most pe...
So, I did say my "worst-case scenario" did not seem like the most likely scenario to play out from the G-20 summit. Now we know my "best-case scenario" and most likely scenario is the one Trump and Xi have chosen, but what does that mean for the month of July? Here was the best-case scenario...
By Robert Hughes The final June results from the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers show overall consumer sentiment fell slightly from the final May result. Consumer sentiment decreased to 98.2 in June, down from 100.0 in May, a 1.8 percent decline (see chart). From a year ago, th...
In a recent speech, Hyun Song Shin, Head of Research at the BIS, discussed - What is behind the recent slowdown? The speech focused on the weakening of global value chains (GVCs) in manufactured goods. The manufacturing sector is critical, since it accounts for 70% of global merchandise trad...
By Seema Shah, Global Investment Strategist, Principal Global Investors Positive - but empty - comments from various members of the U.S. administration in recent days seem to have lulled markets to expect some kind of breakthrough from trade discussions with China discussions at the G20 me...
By OpenMarkets Jack Bouroudjian discusses the reconstitution of the Russell 2000 index and how that might affect other equity indexes in the weeks ahead. He also touches on what the appetite for risk might be heading into the third quarter. Editor's Note: The summary bullets for t...
We often wondered how much of the financial community hangs on every word uttered by any Fed official and scrutinizes every word for any possible indication of potential policy changes. This seems odd to us because: Given the dual mandate of the Fed, financial market conditions are seconda...
China stimulus, global central bank easing and a China-U.S. trade-war ceasefire could set the scene for a rebound in the global economy later in the year. However, the inversion of the U.S. Treasury yield curve and the downtrend in business confidence indicators keep us cautious at mid-ye...
“The fact that financial markets responded in very similar ways … lends credence to the view that these actions had the expected effects on markets and are thereby providing significant support to job creation and the economy.” - Ben Bernanke defends the idea that mark...
Introduction As of now, June 2019, there is a fundamental bifurcation in the business cycle environment. Long leading indicators taken as a whole, like real money supply and housing, are improving despite the alarm bells set off by the yield curve. Meanwhile, the short leading forecast is de...
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2024-06-26 03:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-16 05:16:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-06 07:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...