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Summary In this post, I will focus on trend lines in profitability at companies in 2022, with the intent of addressing multiple questions. While absolute profits are a useful measure of profitability, you have to scale profits to a common scaling variable, to compare companies of differ...
Summary The Bank of Japan looks set to change its ultra-loose policy as inflation takes root. We see spillover risks to global yields, risk appetite and Japanese stocks. Global stocks fell last week and U.S. Treasury yields rose across the curve as markets partly priced out Federal Rese...
Summary Since the FOMC meeting, the US dollar has enjoyed one of the strongest bounces since it topped out in late September/early October. Market positioning was part of the pre-conditions that led to the surge. Ironically, good news on the economic performances may weigh on stocks and...
Summary The Valentine’s Day inflation report is the main event of this week. Investors will pay close attention to Fed speak after the January inflation report. In the EU, central bank speak as ever remains key with President Lagarde on Wednesday the standout. GDP figures...
Summary Global government bonds rallied in January amid a flurry of positive economic data showing signs that inflation worries are easing and energy prices are dropping. In the U.S., economic data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics signaled that inflationary pressures may be ea...
Summary Business prospects for the year ahead rose in January to the highest since comparable data were first available in 2012, as looser COVID-19 restrictions in mainland China fuelled expectations of faster economic growth. January saw business confidence hit an all-time high. S&...
Summary The Bank of Japan's Governor, Haruhiko Kuroda, will step down on 8 April after serving 10 years at the Japanese central bank. We think it will be difficult for Kuroda to try any policy changes at the March meeting just before he steps down. The next governor is likely to con...
Summary Traders will pay close attention to initial jobless claims and the University of Michigan sentiment report. We learned a lot this past week about the position the euro area economy is in, the ECB's perception of it, and the market’s trust in the central bank. The stan...
Summary Global manufacturing output fell for a sixth successive month in January, but the rate of decline showed welcome signs of moderating for a second successive month. The global manufacturing downturn showed signs of easing at the start of 2023, according to the latest PMI surveys ...
Summary Investing can seem like an endless cycle of booms and busts. The correlations among European, Japanese, and emerging market equities as well as US high-yield bonds increased consistently since 1989. According to monthly return data, the average S&P 500 correlations to th...
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2024-07-02 03:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 03:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-23 04:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...