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As we look ahead to 2022, our base case is for positive global growth and elevated inflation in the near term. Though we see inflation moderating during the year, there are upside risks to our forecast. We believe growth assets, such as equities and credit, will tend to deliver positi...
The past week has been dominated by Omicron news as we all try to piece together the limited information we have and determine what it all means for the coming months. The RBA and BoC both hold meetings next week and will likely be armed with little more information than OPEC+ had on ...
Worldwide manufacturing output growth remained subdued in November as ongoing near-record supply shortages were accompanied by a slowing of demand growth. When analysing the survey data, it is important to bear in mind that the headline PMI is a blend of five survey gauges and to get ...
The S&P 500 was down 2.2% last week, which, in normal times, would be barely worth a mention. But in today’s speculative market, that qualifies as a correction. The first two quarters of this year were a big rebound, but last quarter was a bummer with the emergence of the D...
Service sector growth accelerated but is threatened by rising COVID-19 case numbers, notably in Europe, which have hit business confidence for year-ahead prospects. Growth in the 'G4' developed economies of the US, Eurozone, Japan and the UK had surged to an all-time high in May as ec...
The global economy grows, it pauses, perhaps halts, and we all wonder if the other side of the “scare” will remain growth or turn to something worse - usually a downturn, if not full-blown recession. “Growth scare” for Japan, like Germany and also China, do...
Japan’s economy is at the confluence of many macroeconomic trends, both local and global. Globally, Japan has a unique exposure to two key themes: COVID-19 and global trade. Japan has emerged as a leader in COVID vaccination rates after initially lagging the broader world. ...
The resolution of inflation and policy uncertainty is likely to be among the most important determinants of market performance over the next 12 months. Even before Wednesday’s Consumer Price Index release, we saw signs of the shockwave to come earlier in the week. Real yiel...
The focus on Wall Street is all about inflation and whether the Fed is making a policy mistake. If there’s one major central bank that’s hoping to catch a break on inflation, the Bank of England is surely it. The week kicks off with a selection of Chinese data releas...
With the Q4 rebound on track and services picking up to offset some of the expected slowdown in goods spending and the announcement by Pfizer of an effective anti-viral for COVID, why did bonds rally? Why did interest rates fall so hard on Friday after the payroll report? Some said th...
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2024-07-02 03:22:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 03:40:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-23 04:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...