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The pace of recovery has begun to diverge across economies, with vaccination progress and the scale of government stimulus among the biggest swing factors. Macro disparities have also begun filtering into EPS growth expectations. Cyclically sensitive sectors have dominated the upg...
Central banks are often credited with saving the world with their aggressive monetary stimulus during the GFC in 2008. Japan offers compelling insights into the relationship between central bank balance sheets, money supply, and inflation. Some investors are betting on inflation t...
The Bank of Japan has implemented strict yield curve control in the 2-10-year area of the JGB curve since 2016, in an attempt to prevent financial conditions from tightening and to boost Japanese inflation to 2%. Other government yield curves, where central banks have not targeted any...
The first quarter of 2021 brought what the Asset Allocation Committee expected, and as it looks to the next six to 12 months, it faces two questions. Do we think the economy will overheat, pushing bond yields to levels that unsettle equity markets or even force central banks to stifle...
Digitalization goes beyond the implementation of technology; it's about driving deep change to entire business models. Digitalization is critical to ensuring Japan's productivity when much of the population is out of the labor force. In the West, we use online communities to find ...
Global PMI highest since August 2014. Manufacturing reports robust expansion despite supply delays, services boosted by easing of COVID-19 restrictions. Consumer services show signs of steadying after steep downturn. US leads upturn, Brazil lags. For further details see:...
Strong global manufacturing production reported in March, but growth stymied by supply constraints. Rising backlogs of work hint at further robust expansion in second quarter. But inflation concerns are fanned by record rise in factory gate prices. For further details see: ...
Japan's GDP contracted at an annualized rate of 28.8 percent in Q2 of 2020, the biggest decline on record. China has moved up the manufacturing chain and no longer needs Japan as much as it did. Japan's flawed prescription for future growth will never work. For further detai...
In the first quarter, the global economy continued to recover from the steep losses of a year ago, but at a weaker pace as a result of still high COVID-19 cases and slow starts to vaccinations in many countries. The MSCI Emerging Market Index outperformed EAFE, ending 2020 up 18.7%. ...
Upgrades to consensus EPS forecasts have continued apace, further cementing expectations for a V-shaped global growth recovery this year and next. FTSE World estimates for this year have been raised significantly over the past three months (from 15% to 28%), bolstered by upgrades for ...
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iShares today announced its plans to close the following U.S. -listed ETFs on August 25, 2022. The funds will cease trading and no longer accept creation or redemption orders after market close on August 22, 2022. Proceeds of the liquidation are currently scheduled to be sent to sha...