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The economic slowdown we’ve been writing about for months officially arrived last Friday in the form of a particularly weak employment report. But the US economy did still add 235,000 jobs in August. The economic recovery is still intact, even if at a reduced rate of change. ...
USD finished last week on a soft note but steadied at the start of the week, edging higher against nearly all major currencies. The Australian and New Zealand dollars were the weakest, off about 0.3%. The JP Morgan Emerging Market Currency Index snapped a six-day rally, its longest in...
The August nonfarm payroll report showed the delta variant hit to the economy is just beginning. Next week is all about Fed speak. ECB meetings are about to get far more interesting. It is a quiet week for economic data, with Wednesday’s JOLTS job openings reading for July,...
Global manufacturing remained beset by unprecedented supply issues in July, which constrained output and drove prices higher. The analysis of survey responses suggests that the number of companies reporting lower production due to staff or materials shortages is running at around five...
The issue of demography plagues Japan and the U.S. equally. The advancing decades show birth rates dropping as dependency on social welfare climbs. The problem, as with Japan, is that demographics are undermining the support for the social welfare system. The aging population is curre...
Equities wobbled a bit midway through August, but they have since regained their mojo, all but confirming that the bull market in equities remains strong and unchallenged. A reduction in the pace of QE is coming, in both the US and Europe. Indeed, the pace of asset purchases already h...
Now that Jackson Hole is over, the focus shifts back onto the economic recovery. The euro area economy is ticking along nicely. Data from the UK this week showed that, despite all restrictions being lifted, the economy continues to face headwinds because of supply and labour short...
Global real GDP reached a new high in the second quarter of 2021, completing a year-long recovery from the COVID-19 recession. The resilience of the global economy amid a lingering pandemic suggests that the world is learning to live with the COVID-19 virus. Western Europe's consu...
We’ve recently updated our Asia game theater, and although these changes partly reflect the recent regulatory crackdown in China, our update was independent of recent Chinese equity market volatility. Incentives appear to be aligning for increasing rhetoric between the United S...
The upcoming week is all about the Federal Reserve’s symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Government regulatory risk continues to dominate China equity markets, this time with President Xi pushing an agenda of wealth redistribution from rich to poor. Global macro weakness ha...
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iShares today announced its plans to close the following U.S. -listed ETFs on August 25, 2022. The funds will cease trading and no longer accept creation or redemption orders after market close on August 22, 2022. Proceeds of the liquidation are currently scheduled to be sent to sha...