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2024-04-10 12:00:00 ET Summary Owners’ equivalent rent has been noisy over 1Q, however, other leading inflation indicators suggest there’s OER improvement to come in 2Q. This is supportive of a continued downward trend in inflation. Unemployment claims remain low by ...
2024-04-09 14:25:00 ET Summary Bond yields are higher today than they were 20 years ago. With inflation indicators falling around the globe, the time of elevated cash rates may be drawn to a close. Yet, as global central banks appear at or near the end of a tightening cycle de...
2024-04-08 09:00:00 ET Summary Looking forward, our base case is that the Fed engineers a soft landing and starts to normalize policy rates in the second half of the year. In recent quarters, large-cap technology has outperformed in both higher and lower rate regimes. The weig...
2024-04-02 07:36:00 ET Summary Markets continue to experience heightened volatility as participants pay close attention to every new economic data point, trying to divine the timing of the first central bank rate cuts. But investors who are overly focused on data surprises may los...
2024-03-23 02:05:00 ET Summary A much-flagged risk for this year is that, due to the Fed’s 2022-23 hiking cycle, the wall of maturing debt will face significantly higher refinancing costs, potentially triggering a spike in defaults. Except for the lowest-quality segments of...
2024-03-19 14:00:00 ET Summary Corporate bond defaults were up massively in 2023, especially for high-risk junk debt, and the trend is continuing this year at a pace not seen since the 2008 global financial crisis. High-interest rates coupled with high inflation have made it a str...
2024-03-18 11:15:00 ET Summary Over the last two years, the evolution of the US economy has been driven by a return to “normal”. The change in cash levels at the household level were large and have proved more persistent than most expected. At the end of last yea...
2024-03-16 04:55:00 ET Summary In early 2024, investors' eyes remain intently focused on the Federal Reserve's policy path, as decelerating inflation should open the door to Fed rate cuts this year - a pivotal event for financial markets. A much-flagged risk for this year is that,...
2024-03-13 05:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-11 09:47:00 ET Summary Q4 data confirm that government finance Bubble dynamics run unabated. Domestic Financial Sector borrowings recovered to SAAR $695 billion, after two straight quarters of contraction. The Household Balance Sheet is a key Bubble manifestation, a ma...
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2024-05-01 23:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 07:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-13 05:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...