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Summary We believe that various fixed income asset classes are more attractive now and can serve as yield enhancers or portfolio diversifiers, or both, in a variety of market environments. Using broad high yield as an example, at current levels the overall yield would need to incr...
Summary Almost half of the option contracts being traded on the S&P 500, to the tune of $300 billion of notional each day, have one-day expiries or less. Across all listed ETFs and indices, an astounding $1 trillion of notional value in put options (bets that an index or ETF w...
Summary Rate hikes and tighter financial conditions drove fixed-income returns lower in 2022. The broad repricing of bonds and the higher starting yields we have now can help insulate investors from further losses. If we look at international bonds, this is probably the first ...
Summary The pain in bond-land is palpable. The IGSB ETF is now more oversold than either the 2008 or 2020 lows. The 10-year Treasury yield closed at 4.12% today, despite Powell’s rhetoric from last night. In this post from Tuesday night, the relative attra...
Summary As tax-loss harvesting season begins in earnest, the main headline typically focuses on the selloff in global equity and fixed income markets, many of which are down well over 10% so far this year. However, for US-listed ETFs that hold international equities, returns are d...
Summary Allocators are often surprised to discover that high-yield bonds typically outperform stocks by a wide margin going into and coming out of recessions. The High Yield Index has been very resilient. An inflationary recession should lead to lower high-yield default losses...
Summary The global economy has been hit by several headwinds, almost all of them leading back to higher inflation. Europe is likely already in recession, the U.S. will enter recession in Q2 2023, while China struggles to make recovery headway. Markets have faced up to the reality ...
Summary Barclays Aggregate is down almost as much as the S&P 500 YTD. As of 10/31/22, the YTD return on high yield is far better than the return on corporate high-grade. There is relative value being created in the various bond market asset classes. Looking at th...
Summary Global bond markets have been rattled in 2022 by central banks’ aggressive policy pivot to address persistent inflation. The Fed is trying to drive economic growth lower and take the pressure off inflation by reducing demand through higher interest rates — an...
Summary The Fed is going to meet this week and the course of the stock and bond markets, at least for a while, will be determined by what is decided at the FOMC meeting. Household and corporate balance sheets are remarkably liquid. Financials, real estate, and industrials led ...
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2024-07-12 05:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-02 06:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-01 23:44:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...