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Taking an active approach in fixed income will be key to finding investment success in the upcoming year. In 2022, we expect the market narrative to transition to the traditional expansionary phase of the business cycle. We believe 2022 will be a strong year for “rising sta...
Our equities markets seem to be gradually ebbing. While Treasuries have rallied, this has not been the case for our other credit markets. On the inflation front, we are now at a three-decade high, according to the Associated Press. With valuations at current levels, and with v...
The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index (GMI) ticked lower in November but remains elevated relative to recent history. Adjusting the forecast with short-term momentum and medium-term mean-reversion market factors (defined below) reduces - substantially - GMI’s ex...
In high yield, investors tend to think about it as a risky way to play fixed income. A traditional 60/40 portfolio generates somewhere about 8.7% annualized returns over the last few decades. We think investors should really look at high-yield investing as a way to de-risk their e...
November’s modest uptick in volatility, driven by a recalibration of the market’s macroeconomic expectations, could be a sign of things to come. On the surface, November may have appeared to be another month of quiet, range-bound fixed income markets. While we have n...
The Fed confirmed that it will taper its asset purchase program starting later in November, while the Bank of England (BOE) fell just short of raising rates at its November meeting. 55% of managers expect inflation in the U.S. for the next 12 months to stand between 2.26% and 2.75%, w...
How current market and economic conditions could benefit high yield investors, the opportunities and risks right now, and why the asset class is often overlooked or misunderstood. The equity valuation and the access to capital have brought defaults to extremely low levels, and the exp...
We’ve seen a lot of quantitative easing by the Fed. Rates are already at zero, and there’s been a lot of fiscal stimulus that’s been pumped into the system. And we think in this environment, given where valuations are overall, you’re better off leaning more...
During Refinitiv Lipper’s fund flows week ended Nov. 10, 2021, investors were overall net purchasers of fund assets (including both conventional funds and ETFs) for the second straight week, adding $31.3 billion. Exchange-traded equity funds recorded $10.2 billion in weekly net...
In the current commentary we hope to address this October’s unique market ghouls and further how we think resilient portfolios should be oriented around them. It is likely that in time pandemic distortions and extreme base effects will ease, though not immediately, pulling aggr...
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2024-07-12 05:24:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-02 06:50:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-01 23:48:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...