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The market has broadly been under fire this year. While equities have rallied from time to time, the story behind bonds has been consistently negative. With this reality setting in, it is understandably hard to find a bullish argument. With the Fed acting more hawkish by the day, that...
Spreads on CCC-rated debt, one of the riskiest subsets of U.S. junk bonds, have widened around 50 basis points in April as investors discount expectations for weaker economic growth and recession risks, Bloomberg reported. In other words, as the risk premium on CCC bonds increases,...
Even though Stock and Bond markets aren't the "casinos" investors thought they were 100 years ago in the "Roaring '20s," investors are still always "betting" on some scenario. We may be betting on a company excelling and growing; or on its merely continuing to perform at its current l...
The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index ticked slightly higher in March to an annualized 5.8% pace, fractionally above last month’s estimate. Using short-term momentum and medium-term mean-reversion market factors (defined below) to adjust the forecast trims GMI...
What's Working This Week are Companies that Use Oil as an Input, High Yield Bonds. What's Not Working This Week are Energy/Materials Shares, Homebuilders. Brief Quarter Review: Energy and Materials are Strong while "Risk On" shares floundered. We are observing a changing relat...
Lots of funds are cheap these days and paying high distribution yields, but Eagle Point Income represents a better bargain than many other funds because it is not as well understood. EIC is safer than many high yield bond funds because of the unique characteristics of CLO junior debt,...
"Risk on" sectors continue to dominate "What's Working." Interest rate sensitive securities were "What's Not Working" as the 10-year rate continues to tick higher. The bottoming process in growth stocks continued for the second straight week. A "barbell portfolio" might be a g...
HIPS is an income fund invested in CEFs, MLPs, REITs, and BDCs. The high yield comes with a high expense ratio and share price decay. The current distribution per share doesn’t look sustainable in the long term. An alternative high-yield strategy taking into account tot...
Most discount widening in a rising rate cycle occurs before the actual first rate hike by the Federal Reserve. The Fed pivot scared a lot of income investors but it appears that the market is overly hawkish at this point, which could provide nice upside post-March. Discounts of CE...
As the world reels from the crisis, the blowback is rippling across the world economy and markets. The current risk premia analysis implicitly recommends managing expectations down for GMI and other global multi-asset-class portfolios. The mean reversion factor is estimated as the...
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2024-07-12 05:26:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-07-02 06:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-01 23:50:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...