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Summary Policymakers are recognizing a new macro regime but are ignoring the trade-off between inflation and growth. A resulting recession is bad news for risk assets. Stocks fell last week after hawkish comments by Fed Chair Jerome Powell and data showing another month of jobs ga...
Summary In most countries/regions around the world, monetary inflation rates peaked at extraordinary heights in early 2021 and have since crashed. G2 True Money Supply is the primary driver of the global boom-bust cycle. Once central banks have created a bubble the best they c...
Summary The indefinite shut down of natural gas flows via the Nord Stream 1 pipeline will trigger a severe recession in Germany and Europe. The recession in Europe will likely be severe. In the event of a cold winter, the prospective recession could potentially be the most d...
Summary The Reserve Bank of Australia makes its announcement early Tuesday, September 6. One of the challenges for policymakers and investors is that Australia reports inflation quarterly. The labor and property markets are showing signs of weakening, but the consumer appears to b...
Summary The JPMorgan Global Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index, compiled by S&P Global, fell from 51.1 in July to 50.3 in August, its lowest since June 2020. Output only rose in ten of the 30 economies for which data are available, and in five of those - including mainla...
Summary The S&P Global Eurozone Manufacturing PMI fell to 49.6 in August, down from 49.8 and further beneath the 50.0 mark that separates growth from contraction. Weak demand and efforts to reduce high inventory levels are therefore combining to drive production lower in the m...
Summary The meeting-by-meeting (MBM) approach opens the door widely for speculation and volatility, as it makes it harder to read the ECB’s reaction function. And exactly this reaction function has changed. It follows a paradigm shift of many central banks as recently witne...
Summary Market rates are set to rise as financial conditions are not tight enough in the US; the US 10yr yield could even go as far as topping 3.5% again. That will pull rates higher elsewhere, including those in the eurozone. Remarkably, financial conditions are significantly...
Summary Unemployment fell from 6.7% to 6.6% in July. Employment expectations from businesses are dropping moderately and the economy is moving towards recession at the moment. A recession will dampen the prospects for increases but is unlikely to nullify them altogether. ...
Summary Despite the recent outperformance of US-based companies and US investors’ home-country bias, we believe investors will still benefit from proper diversification for a well-balanced portfolio. In countries with less-efficient markets, there can be greater investment ...
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2024-07-02 09:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-12 11:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 10:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...