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Summary Rates push higher and curves flatten as the hawkish message from the latest central bank meetings sinks in. The decisions have also highlighted policy transmission issues that have to be overcome as negative rates are left behind. Today's eurozone PMIs underscore the g...
Summary Recognizing that high inflation will not quietly go away, the world's major central banks are toughening their policies. Gradualism has given way to super-sized interest rate increases and a clearer resolve to restrain actual and expected inflation, despite adverse economi...
Summary The new regime of macro volatility is playing out with weaker growth, persistent inflation and volatile markets. We stick with our dialed-down risk stance. U.S. stocks slumped and yields surged on a renewed rise in core inflation. We’ve argued inflation will be pers...
Summary The median economist forecast is for more inflation and higher unemployment than the Fed's median projection in June. The Bank of Japan meeting ends early on September 22, and the Bank of England meeting a few hours later. Japan will report August inflation figures a few d...
Summary Officials at the world's major central banks, led by the US Fed, grew increasingly united in their resolve to bring inflation under control. The August about-face pulled the Europe ex UK and both US Russell indexes back down to the bottom of the performance ranks for the y...
Summary Hotter-than-expected August CPI and quarterly options/derivatives expiration made for a toxic mix. “Core” CPI was reported up 0.6% for the month (7% annualized!), double estimates. Two-year Treasury yields surged 17 bps on CPI Tuesday – and rose 31 bps...
Summary UK prime minister Liz Truss announced a price cap on natural gas to shelter households from the 80% increase scheduled for next month and more price resets slated for January and April 2023. With no action, UK inflation could easily have topped 15% this year. With the cap,...
Summary The US CPI reading kicked off the latest curve flattening leg, but the coordinated hawkishness of ECB officials is helping to extend it. The 2-10Y EUR OIS curve has inverted, and the German curve should eventually follow. The ECB has successfully shielded sovereign spr...
Summary Citing economic sanctions imposed by the West, Russia has closed the taps to its Nord Stream 1 pipeline, throwing Europe into its biggest energy crisis in decades. European countries may be forced to ration gas, which will impede market forces from destroying demand natura...
Summary Today, every major part of the world economy is seemingly prone to a serious economic crisis. The European economy is perhaps the most immediate cause for concern. All of these world economic problems have to raise serious questions about the wisdom of the Federal Rese...
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2024-07-02 09:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-12 11:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 10:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...