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Summary The Fed is primarily concerned with what is happening with inflation. This earnings season will likely be filled with hiring freezes/layoff announcements, cost-cutting saving measures, and mostly downbeat outlooks. The West is working towards fresh sanctions and potent...
Summary Market rates are primed for a large fall. But first, we need to see hints of a peak in official rates, and that still depends on a very uncertain path for (core) inflation. Once that is in, or we are much closer to it, we can prepare for a structural decline in market ...
Summary Central banks are still far from bailing markets out. There is no evidence that financial stability concerns are distracting them from their inflation fight. Their inflexibility is why we see more upside for rates and spreads. By Antoine Bouvet , Benj...
Summary Global equity markets outside of the United States have completed a third negative quarter, with the MSCI ACWI ex US IMI Index down 11.26% in the three months through October 30. For the year to date, this index is down 27.19%, which clearly indicates a “bear market...
Summary Equity market volatility persisted in the third quarter as investors came to terms with a new reality of high inflation and rising interest rates. For most of this year, equity markets have violently traded on this unholy trinity of rising inflation, rate hikes and growth ...
Summary Average input costs rose at an increased rate for the first time in five months in September, hinting at stubbornly persistent inflation within the worldwide factory sector. Supply chain cost pressures and wage pressures eased, helping bring down factory cost inflation. ...
Summary It is no mystery that trading conditions in most financial markets have worsened this year, and interest rates are no exception. The upcoming debate on balance sheet reduction, also known as quantitative tightening, risks scuppering this fragile equilibrium. Concerns a...
Summary Global business conditions worsened in the manufacturing sector in September. The JPMorgan Global Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index™ (PMI™) dropped below the neutral level of 50.0 for the first time since June 2020. Easing of supply chain delays we...
Summary We expect macro headwinds will continue to pressure U.S. corporate earnings in the coming months. We expect earnings expectations to decline as multinational firms realize foreign exchange headwinds that accelerated over the past year. Investors can avoid undue interna...
Summary Last week, the 2-year Treasury rate rose above 4.3%, the 10-year Treasury rose above 3.9%, and mortgage rates topped 7%, their highest level in 20 years. By reducing its balance sheet by $95 billion per month, the Fed has sent the 10-year rate substantially higher. The...
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2024-07-02 09:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-12 11:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 10:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...