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Summary How far will policy rates need to go to tame inflation and is a recession imminent? Until central banks see a significant decline in wage growth, they’re likely to keep conditions tighter for longer. There’s evidence that conditions may continue to suppor...
Summary Following a dizzying rally during the Covid recovery, global housing markets have cooled recently as affordability has declined. In Sweden, the combination of mostly floating mortgages, uncomfortably high inflation, and a central bank behind the curve but determined to cat...
Summary One question that we would all like to know the answer to is when will European gas prices come back down again? A forward curve is not always a reliable indicator of what will happen in the future, but it does give us some insight into how the market is viewing things tod...
Summary Active central banks may create attractive opportunities for discretionary macro managers who can take advantage of higher volatility, higher rates and dynamic policy changes. The Russia-Ukraine conflict remains a large overhang across almost the entire commodity complex. ...
Summary Financial markets have entered a period of head-spinning volatility. Consumer inflation remains at record highs across major developed economies. Higher yields will bring new income-generating opportunities and significant shifts in risk-return assessments. ...
Summary Ahead of next week's flash eurozone PMI release, we review the survey findings and the official data after a marked divergence has become apparent. The latest publication of official data from Eurostat showed manufacturing output rising 1.7% in August, almost entirely reve...
Summary Looking at all the evidence available so far, it looks like the eurozone fell into a shallow recession in the third quarter. For the European Central Bank, this is unlikely to be enough to prompt an immediate dovish pivot given its determination to hike interest rates in t...
Summary The Bank of England’s reaction to the UK’s fiscal U-turn will be key to determining if Gilts can rally further. They are especially nervous about quantitative tightening and the outlook for rate hikes. The European Central Bank has yet to revise its growt...
Summary Bond markets appear to be disciplining policy inconsistencies, both within sovereigns and among them. Policymaking can be inconsistent in two ways: within a sovereign, between the fiscal and monetary authorities, and among sovereigns. We see plenty of evidence that pol...
Summary After a bumpy year, 2023 could prove to be even more challenging for global goods trade with consumer demand faltering, oversupply returning, and the energy and subsequent inflation crisis persisting. So far this year, global merchandise trade has held up extremely well gi...
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2024-07-02 09:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-12 11:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 10:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...