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Summary China’s inflection point began with the easing of access to credit in the property sector in October 2022. If the International Monetary Fund’s forecasts for resilient EM economic growth in 2023 prove to be correct, this should have a positive effect on revenue tre...
Summary While the downturn in global private sector business activity entered its fourth month in November, employment continued to rise. Those companies that are still hiring are also remarking on the challenges in finding staff, with the PMI Comment Trackers showing reports of labour ...
Summary Recession is foretold, in our view, as central banks crush demand to bring down inflation. We think markets are wrong to expect them to later come to the rescue. U.S. stocks fell and the Treasury yield curve inverted its most since the early 1980s. We see recent moves as reflect...
Summary Are we seeing the beginning of a reversal in the decline in stocks, and rise in yields, which have haunted investors this year? If the rebound in equities continues into Q1, it’s possible that leading indicators will flip, offering more convincing support for the idea of ...
Summary Half of the G10 central banks meet in the week ahead. It is no longer about when US inflation will peak, but how fast it will come down. The core rate is of critical interest. Half of the G10 central banks meet in the week ahead. The Fed is first on December 14...
Summary Amid the crosscurrents, two themes have prevailed during the post-pandemic years, which lend some perspective to the macroeconomic roadmap ahead: namely, the bipolar swings in macro policy and the forces of economic normalization. After one of the worst years for fixed income as...
Summary The ECB didn’t use the flexibility offered by the PEPP’s redemption to lean against wide sovereign spreads in the months of October and November. Appetite for high-beta fixed income has allowed the ECB to reduce its overweight in peripheral bonds. There is no s...
Summary Expectations surrounding central bank policy, China’s gradual reopening and a lower US dollar are key to investor sentiment in the final stretch of 2022. Central banks have increased interest rates at the fastest rate on record, and there are signs that higher yields are ...
Summary Olga and Hugo review their predictions and explore what surprised them in 2022, focusing on GDP, interest rates, earnings growth, energy prices, and the dollar. Our forecast for nominal GDP incorporates expectations for both growth and inflation. We were on the right track by an...
Summary We continue to track differentials between US and EU equity market discounts thanks to broad, diversified ETFs like the IEUR. IEUR gives a cheaper exposure to broad, developed markets than the IVV, but part of it is because of a skew towards financials which in Europe are worse ...
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2024-07-02 09:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-12 11:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 10:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...