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Last month, the fear was excessively high inflation but in the first week of July growth fears have come to the fore. A weaker than expected non-manufacturing PMI in the US has triggered a sharp decline in global government bond yields. The UK’s vaccination program may have...
Michael Vi/iStock Editorial via Getty Images BlackRock's iShares ETF team wrote in a midyear outlook that it expects the "reflation trade" to go global, sustainable assets to become a central focus area for investment and infrastructure plays to be key. In a report led by Gargi Pal Chaudhuri,...
EUR rates shrugged the new ECB policy goal, perhaps because it was well-telegraphed and, arguably, already acted upon in recent years. Marginally lower real rates may ensue. The global flattening might run into some profit-taking today, and faces long-end US supply next week. But ...
Stephan Behnes/iStock via Getty Images Following in the footsteps of the Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank's Governing Council adopts a symmetric 2% inflation target over the medium term as part of its monetary policy. The change was made after the central bank started a review of it...
The fall in market rates has little to do with the Fed, at least not directly. Rates were falling long before the Fed had its hawkish wake-up moment. Real rates have remained stubbornly negative too, which made little sense against a vibrant macro story. The 10yr real yield is now bac...
As the world convalesced from the pandemic, stocks advanced in the second quarter and earnings rebounded across sectors. With business gains broadening amid complex market risks, we think investors should lean on quality to find stocks that will perform well in a normalizing world eco...
Although global manufacturing output growth ran at one of the fastest rates seen for over a decade in June, capacity constraints continued to develop, reflecting a lack of labour and a record worsening of supplier delivery times. The shortfall of payroll numbers to new orders was espe...
With all the talk about inflation expectations, central bank policy, rising Treasury yields and fiscal policies, equity investors are trying to make sense of the market by focusing on the interest rate sensitivity of valuations and the tug of war between growth stocks and value stocks. ...
The IHS Markit's eurozone manufacturing PMI broke new records for a fourth straight month in a row during June, rising to a new high of 63.4. The speed of the recent upsurge in demand has led to a sellers' market as capacity and transportation constraints limit the availability of inp...
As the first half of 2021 comes to an end, the global economy is recovering strongly from its sharp decline last year caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. Regional economic growth differences during the first half reflect differences in the spread of the pandemic and policy responses to i...
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On Thursday, May 16th, U.S. stock markets closed in the red as investors adjusted their rate-cut expectations following data showing a sl...
On Wednesday, May 16th, U.S. stock markets closed significantly higher, with major indexes reaching record highs. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq each c...
On Tuesday, May 15th, U.S. stock markets closed higher, with the Nasdaq reaching a record closing high. Both the S&P 500 and Dow Jones also saw...