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We think inflation is likely to fall back, but we are more sensitive to upside risk than at the start of the year. Evidence of longer-term investment in more and more sectors continues to build. Flexibility and a tactical approach across the full range of credit markets has been a...
This summer has seen a drop in a popular economic indicator: the slope of the yield curve. We look at the potential reasons for that and reckon that concerns, though legitimate, may be overstated. Wait until September to get a clearer read on the curve. For further details s...
As the world starts to recover from the pandemic, a range of factors are converging to create a new inflationary era. Crucially, the policy regime is changing, driven by the need to respond to emerging social and environmental challenges and help manage record peacetime debt levels. T...
Our newly released findings from the second quarter of 2021 indicate that the volatility surrounding the recent reversal in market sentiment is creating additional opportunities for skilled managers. We expect this to remain the case in the months ahead as concerns over inflation and ...
Australia’s better-than-expected economic performance since the pandemic began has been grist to the mill for those who think tighter policy could be on the cards. Higher year-on-year inflation readings had been expected in 2021 because of the base effects created during 2020 w...
Record low real yields across the world betray an exceptional degree of macro angst. Or do they? Don’t look at rates in isolation. Other markets are fine. The tide of central bank purchases lifts all boats, and normal liquidity conditions will only return at the end of the ...
The biggest beneficiary of the Covid-19 Delta variant fear is bond yields, since the 10-year Treasury bond decisively “cracked” the 1.2% level last week and actually hit a low of 1.133% on Tuesday. This means that either inflation fears are ebbing or there is a flight to qua...
Prices charged for goods and services meanwhile rose at a near-unprecedented rate again as demand outstripped supply. The eurozone is enjoying a summer growth spurt as the loosening of virus-fighting restrictions propelled growth to the fastest for 21 years. Supply chain delays re...
The virus is once again raising the prospects of slowing the economic recovery that was unevenly unfolding. The ECB's new forward guidance signaled that bond purchases and low rates will prevail until the staff forecasts that the 2% target can be sustained. Discussions about the p...
All eyes are on the US next week as the Fed meets and we head into peak earnings season. Earnings season is off to a very strong start and it will step up a notch next week with a number of big tech companies reporting. There’ll also be a raft of economic releases which will gr...
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On Tuesday, May 7th, U.S. stock markets closed mixed, with the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average ending slightly higher, extending their...
On Monday, May 6th, U.S. stock markets closed higher for the third consecutive session, fueled by increasing investor optimism about pote...
On Friday, May 3rd, U.S. stock markets surged, with a softer jobs report reinforcing the argument for Federal Reserve rate cuts while highlighting ...