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Last quarter, the Asset Allocation Committee adopted an underweight view on global equities and leaned more heavily into cash, commodities and other alternative, diversifying assets. The Committee’s views on real and alternative assets are unchanged this quarter. The Asset ...
As we enter 22Q2 earnings season, growth rates remain positive, but the rate of increase continues to decline after last year’s outsized pandemic impact. The forward 12-month net profit margin for the STOXX 600 is currently at an all-time high of 10.0% and has increased by 220 ...
The EU – and the U.S., for that matter – are placing more energy sanctions on the Russian Federation, but it looks like they are self-defeating in nature. U.S. stocks have long ago traded below their March lows, but the initial DAX decline was much deeper and quite a bit...
European debt ratios have barely budged since 2012. Some Eurozone countries, including Ireland, the Netherlands, Portugal, and Spain have spent the past decade deleveraging and their debt ratios have plunged. Part of the reason there has been no debt crisis in Europe over the past...
Last month, when the Federal Reserve hiked 75 bp instead of the 50 it had signaled, Chair Powell cited the unexpectedly strong CPI and elevated University of Michigan consumer inflation expectations. While inflation did accelerate, the core rate fell. Moreover, the Fed targets the PCE...
Key highlights from the June Fed meeting minutes. Is eurozone growth decelerating? China considers $220 billion stimulus plan. On the latest edition of Market Week in Review, Equity Portfolio Manager Olga Bezrokov and Sophie Antal-Gilbert, Head of AIS Portfolio & B...
It will be a busy week for Fed speak as Williams talks about LIBOR on Monday, Barkin discusses recession on Tuesday, Waller speaks on Thursday and Bostic talks on Friday. Energy traders will have a lot to keep their eye on next week as President Biden makes a trip to the Middle East a...
The reason for the new concern over another euro crisis is clear: the ECB’s announcement of normalising monetary policy; i.e., the end of negative interest rates, a potential further series of policy rate hikes and the end of net asset purchases. Despite a challenging outlook f...
Euro rates and German Bund yields are on a downward path, justified by recession risks and declining inflation fears. Liquidity conditions could remain poor over the summer but will improve by year-end. 10Y Bund yields will converge to 1% by mid-2023. Narrowing swap spreads mean 1...
The rise in bond spreads in most eurozone countries could be a problem. Nevertheless, the long period of extremely low interest rates and the very gradual rollover of public debt give governments some leeway, even if spreads rise further. That said, any reduction in economic growt...
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2024-07-02 09:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-12 11:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 10:00:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...