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Russia's recognition of the Donetsk and Lugansk People's Republics (DLPR) has sparked global outrage and triggered the first tranche of sanctions. Although Russian markets are closed for a public holiday, offshore trading shows a continued sell-off in Russian USD debt. We take a l...
US inflation remains elevated and appears on track to remain so for the immediate future. The Producer Price Index for All Commodities has peaked on a year-over-year basis. The sharp increase in shipping costs over the past year captures the supply-chain disruptions that have been...
The U.S. has been importing more crude oil from Russia, especially on the West Coast, due to the decline of Alaska’s crude oil output. So, if the U.S. tried to curtail Russian energy imports, then the record prices at the pump on the West Coast could soar higher. China is expor...
Forecasting macro activity and managing expectations have become substantially more difficult. As the West imposes sanctions on Russia, the potential for a severe supply shock lurks – particularly for oil and natural gas. Macroeconomic risk will rise, perhaps leading to a n...
Russia supplies natural gas to Europe, and in the event of US sanctions, this could impact Europe. But there are so many LNG ships in the Atlantic right now that lease rates have collapsed, so Russian threats to cut off Europe’s gas may not be much of a threat. The other big th...
Non-U.S. markets, including EM, DM, and Asia, are outperforming the U.S. markets after underperforming last year. After slightly underperforming growth last year, value is where the money is flowing. With the economy still in growth mode, cyclical stocks should do better than defe...
To help address investor concerns about Russia-Ukraine tensions, our Portfolio Managers examine the impact on their respective asset classes and potential allocation changes. We believe sanctions initially will focus on Russia’s top security personnel and companies directly inv...
In an oil market that is increasingly globally interlinked, there is a consistent battle between producers in the Atlantic Basin and the Middle East vying for market share in Asia. It is increasingly clear that China will become the world’s largest oil refiner, with a total cap...
World supply was about 1.3 Mb/d below the Feb 2020 level in Jan 2022 based on OPEC estimates. By the third quarter of 2022, the World Oil Market is likely to be short on supply if the optimistic supply estimates of OPEC prove correct. The trend might flatten a bit over the next 2 ...
Why inflation may be here to stay for the long term. The Fed may have to be more proactive if it wants to get ahead of inflation. Why wage growth is the big inflation driver and the reason inflation will be around for a while. For further details see: How Far Will The Fe...
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2024-07-02 09:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-12 11:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 10:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...