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The map of the Asset Allocation Committee’s market views is a buzz of activity this quarter. Coming into 2022, we anticipated slower growth compared with the steep recovery levels of 2021 and inflation that was declining but persistent—and problematic due to its origins ...
Energy is still the only game in town for strong upside momentum in the US equity sector this year. While the usual suspects in the business of extracting and selling fossil fuels are enjoying windfall profits lately, no one will confuse these firms with the renewable/green energy spa...
The energy sector is looking at the strongest revenue growth of all 11 sectors in the S&P 500 in 2022. The one bright spot for energy bulls is the very positive revisions in expected quarterly revenue growth for the energy sector happening already in 2022. For the energy bears...
Right now, in the seasonally strong late spring period for oil consumption, many countries are putting sanctions on Russia because of the Ukraine crisis. I am worried that some of these sanctions will backfire, and the price of oil will go parabolic, affecting more than the sanctionin...
With oil prices spiking and investors avoiding volatile names, only a few themes have worked: energy and defensive stocks. With economic growth likely to slow and earnings growth harder to come by, companies able to grow earnings should garner renewed interest. To the extent reces...
During the last Fed rate raising cycle, it took the Federal Reserve five years to raise the fed funds rate to 2.50%. The Fed kept rates far too low for far too long and now we are dealing with the consequences. Both fiscal and monetary policy have been highly inflationary, and we are ...
U.S. February production decreased by a surprising 50 kb/d to 11,312 kb/d. GOM production took a sharp drop in December 2021 and continued to February. The number of DUCs available for completion has continued to fall every month since July 2020. For further details see: ...
The stagflation scenario got a little more traction last week with the release of a negative Q1 GDP print on Thursday and hints of more inflation on Friday. April was a really rotten month with everything down but the general commodity indexes. Investing is mostly an exercise in s...
The Fed has little control over today’s goods inflation, driven by supply-chain, COVID stimulus, and war. Every time the Fed has increased rates to fight inflation historically, unemployment has increased. Recent events have put an even greater spotlight on energy independe...
China's zero-COVID policy is spooking the oil market. But, as we've seen all around the world, it's unsustainable. Global oil storages are very low, so any demand hit will be cushioned, leaving a higher floor for oil prices to fall back on in case things get worse. Meanwhile, ...
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2024-07-02 09:34:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-12 11:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 10:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...