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November’s modest uptick in volatility, driven by a recalibration of the market’s macroeconomic expectations, could be a sign of things to come. On the surface, November may have appeared to be another month of quiet, range-bound fixed income markets. While we have n...
The S&P 500 was down 2.2% last week, which, in normal times, would be barely worth a mention. But in today’s speculative market, that qualifies as a correction. The first two quarters of this year were a big rebound, but last quarter was a bummer with the emergence of the D...
The past 2 years of easy monetary policy have unleashed a torrent of liquidity throughout the marketplace, and as we approach normalcy, or a perceived normalcy of interest rates over the next few years, perhaps that will tighten. Investors should be prepared for small bouts of volatil...
We’ve seen a lot of quantitative easing by the Fed. Rates are already at zero, and there’s been a lot of fiscal stimulus that’s been pumped into the system. And we think in this environment, given where valuations are overall, you’re better off leaning more...
Investors now face “tougher comps” in Q4 ’21 and 2022, so it’s likely readers and investors are going to see an emerging bearish tone to forward earnings. The forward 4-quarter estimate fell this week to $214.77 from last week’s $214.95. Most cli...
The recent run higher in the Sharpe ratio for the Global Market Index finally reversed in October. Risk-adjusted performance has slipped, but GMI's rebound in October lifted it to a new record high. GMI is useful as a baseline to begin research on asset allocation and portfolio de...
The long-run risk premium forecast for the Global Market Index (GMI) rebounded in October, edging up to 6.1%, based on revised numbers through last month. The new estimate is calculated in terms of the projected return over the “risk-free” rate, according to a risk-based...
US real estate investment trusts (REITs) and stocks posted the strongest returns for the major asset classes in October - by wide margins. US REITs surged 7.7% last month, reversing September’s sharp decline. The recovery puts American property shares in the lead for 2021 with ...
Last week, Treasury bond futures reached 1.7064% in overnight trading, while the high for 2021 so far is 1.7760%. 5-year Treasury yields have long taken out their 2021 highs, and 2-year Treasury notes have tripled their yield in 2021. In general, longer-term maturities, like 10- a...
When facing a rising-rate environment, investors who can’t stomach too much risk should limit - but not eliminate - duration, or sensitivity to interest-rate changes. Investors shouldn’t just shorten their portfolio’s duration; they should get a chunk of it from a...
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2024-05-02 02:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-02 12:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-13 09:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...