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The EMBI High Yield Index yields 330 bps above the U.S. High Yield Index, which is around two standard deviations relative to the last five years’ average. Apart from China and the frontier markets, there are opportunities in more “traditional” EM countries. I...
If yields are low and spreads are low, it’s logical to conclude that generic market beta returns are going to be low. But that does not mean that alpha expectations should be lowered as well. There’s potentially a lot of volatility coming our way and dispersion with winn...
As we look ahead to 2022, our base case is for positive global growth and elevated inflation in the near term. Though we see inflation moderating during the year, there are upside risks to our forecast. We believe growth assets, such as equities and credit, will tend to deliver positi...
Our equities markets seem to be gradually ebbing. While Treasuries have rallied, this has not been the case for our other credit markets. On the inflation front, we are now at a three-decade high, according to the Associated Press. With valuations at current levels, and with v...
iShares Interest Rate Hedged Long-Term Corporate Bond ETF (NYSEARCA:IGBH) - $0.2547. 30-Day SEC Yield of 2.79% as of Oct. 29. Payable Dec 08; for shareholders of record Dec 03; ex-div Dec 02. For further details see: iShares Interest Rate Hedged Long-Term Corporate Bond ETF declares mon...
The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index (GMI) ticked lower in November but remains elevated relative to recent history. Adjusting the forecast with short-term momentum and medium-term mean-reversion market factors (defined below) reduces - substantially - GMI’s ex...
November’s modest uptick in volatility, driven by a recalibration of the market’s macroeconomic expectations, could be a sign of things to come. On the surface, November may have appeared to be another month of quiet, range-bound fixed income markets. While we have n...
The S&P 500 was down 2.2% last week, which, in normal times, would be barely worth a mention. But in today’s speculative market, that qualifies as a correction. The first two quarters of this year were a big rebound, but last quarter was a bummer with the emergence of the D...
The past 2 years of easy monetary policy have unleashed a torrent of liquidity throughout the marketplace, and as we approach normalcy, or a perceived normalcy of interest rates over the next few years, perhaps that will tighten. Investors should be prepared for small bouts of volatil...
We’ve seen a lot of quantitative easing by the Fed. Rates are already at zero, and there’s been a lot of fiscal stimulus that’s been pumped into the system. And we think in this environment, given where valuations are overall, you’re better off leaning more...
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2024-05-02 02:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-02 12:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-13 09:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...