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The Treasury curve continued flattening during the first quarter of 2022, with short-term Treasury yields rising precipitously while longer Treasury yields rose at a slower rate. As the Treasury curve flattened and yields rose, spreads on investment-grade corporates and taxable munici...
Follow the Money is a series of brief, information-rich posts that I will publish periodically but not on a fixed schedule. After rallying for 9 of the last 11 days, the S&P 500 went from down -13% to down just -3.4%. Growth has been hit hard by the slide in tech stocks this y...
Pick any barometer of costs these days, and the story is the same: Prices are up - and in a dramatic fashion. The first thing that jumps out is the dismal performance of most asset classes during periods of low growth and high inflation - otherwise known as stagflation. A solid fo...
The US Federal Reserve is turning increasingly hawkish—hiking rates fast enough to slow inflation while maintaining economic growth will be a monumental task. The Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions team opines on what to expect from the Fed and gauges whether it is already...
As widely anticipated, the Federal Reserve raised the Fed Funds rate by 0.25% to 0.25%-0.50% during the March Federal Open Market Committee meeting, its first interest rate hike since December 2018. In addition to the Fed Funds rate increasing, longer-term rates have increased as the ...
Interest rates have an outsize effect on equity valuations. The shape of the Treasury yield curve contains all sorts of information about economic expectations. Credit risk spreads between benchmark Treasuries and corporate bonds. Credit risk spreads are not telling us that we sho...
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the sanctions response, and the gyrations in commodity markets cast an even thicker layer of uncertainty on what already was an uncertain economic and financial market outlook before the onset of this horrific war. Despite the many unknowns, we dra...
A stock market crash is something no investor can predict with reasonable certainty. However, that doesn’t stop savvy investors from moving their money into safe havens when enough signs point toward impending downturn. When considering bond investments in a down market, it...
Recent changes in the macro backdrop have created a more compelling case for Investment-Grade Credit, also highlighting specific benefits of the global approach. We believe that current market environment is putting this asset class in the spotlight, given more compelling valuations a...
Now, more than two-thirds of managers expect core inflation to stand between 2.5% and 3.5%. Managers sense the end of the deleveraging trend that was observed in 2021. Global leveraged managers believe that the upside remains limited, with no expectation of spread tightening. ...
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2024-05-02 02:42:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-02 12:32:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-13 09:04:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...