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The U.S. Economy May Be Slowing, But Recession Risk Remains Low

Source: SeekingAlpha

2025-12-10 12:59:00 ET

By James Picerno

Recent concerns about elevated recession risk still look overstated, based on the TMC Recession Probability Indicator, which aggregates and models data from three business-cycle indicators published by regional Fed banks (see here for details)....

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The U.S. Economy May Be Slowing, But Recession Risk Remains Low
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