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Summary Will the fourth 75 basis-point rate hike be the last major rise before the Fed downshifts in December? Next week’s FOMC decision is widely expecting a unanimous vote for one last major rate increase. Inflation has hit double-digits and remains the ECB’s numbe...
Summary Midterm elections typically see major stock market rallies. Stocks are currently poised for an extended short covering event. A Fed "pivot" would offer even more incentive for the bulls to push stocks higher. A long-overdue round of short covering is underway in ...
Summary U.S. equities fell more than 9% in September, pushing year-to-date losses to roughly 24%. Only five calendar years have been worse, and three of those were during the Depression. September’s losses brought stock valuations back to the year’s lows, with the S&...
Summary The core PCE price index jumped 5.1% in September, compared to a year ago, the fourth-highest reading in this cycle, behind January, February, and March. In terms of the Fed’s 2% inflation target as measured by core PCE, inflation is worsening and now measures over ...
Summary The composite consumer sentiment increased to 59.9 in October, up from 58.6 in September. The current economic conditions index rose to 65.6 versus 59.7 in September. The one-year inflation expectations rose in October, rising to 5%. The jump follows a string of declin...
Summary The Hang Seng index plummeted to the lowest levels since the Great Financial Crisis in 2008. While the Hang Seng plummeted, U.S. equities rallied and we wound up +1.5% on the day. While everyone is glum about digital advertising, sometimes it makes sense to take a step...
Summary Stock markets are still reeling from this year’s dramatic events. If equities have fallen primarily because of rising rates, the market may not yet be pricing in growing threats to company fundamentals. Similar situations unfolded in many sectors, impacting both...
Summary Year-over-year, Gross Domestic Product rose by 1.8 percent in the third quarter of 2022, the same as in the second quarter. No recession in sight as far as the GDP numbers are concerned, but there are a lot of other data out there that suggest just the opposite. The ge...
Summary While most companies are reporting weak earnings, expectations are now very low. Where are the risks and opportunities? Earnings from Microsoft, Google, Snap, AMD, Micron, Carmax provide a glimpse into tough macro trends. Here we provide thoughts on where we are in the...
Summary What really moved the GDP needle was the reversal of the “freak event” that had sunk GDP in Q1, when net exports had collapsed by a historic amount. “Real” GDP, after dipping in Q1 and Q2, more than fully recovered in Q3 and eked out a new recor...
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2024-04-22 12:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-04-12 14:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-21 09:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...