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We’ve moved past the early-cycle environment that predominated risk taking in 2020, post the pandemic lows, and we’re moving really into a mid-cycle environment, which tends to be constructive for risk. This mid-cycle environment is still going to be expansionary, albeit...
Growth-oriented asset classes are likely to shine, but not equally. Above-trend growth is a supportive environment of risky assets like equities or credit. On valuation grounds, equities are looking a little cheaper. Geraldine Sundstrom and Erin Browne discuss PIMCO’s views...
Within the non-investment grade credit markets, issuer default rates are an important driver of market and portfolio performance. We believe 2020 ended the credit cycle that began following the global financial crisis, with 2021 marking the start of a new cycle. The duration of th...
Only funds with yields over 7%, coverage higher than 85% and trading at under a +5% premium are considered. Top lists of discount, yield, DxY and DxYxZ are given. The top DxY funds are AOD, ISD and GHY. ISD and GHY are relatively conservative high-yield funds with decent credi...
During much of last quarter, the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model indicated an annual rate over 10% for the second quarter, but last Friday, they downgraded their estimate to the lowest number we’ve seen since the quarter began - an annual pace of just 7.8%, down from +8.6% on Jul...
Risk-adjusted performance for the Global Market Index (GMI) continued to push higher in June, based on the annualized Sharpe ratio for a rolling ten-year window via monthly data. GMI’s 10-year SR increased to 0.84, the highest in 18 months. GMI is an unmanaged, market-value...
The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index (GMI) resumed an upward drift in June, rising to an annualized 6.0%. The current risk premium forecast for GMI - 6.0% - suggests that multi-asset-class strategies will generate lower returns relative to results posted in recent yea...
Rising Star volume gains momentum as the global economy continues its recovery, which we believe will provide attractive total return opportunity in Fixed Income. Over the course of 2020, as the COVID-19 pandemic adversely impacted fundamentals and markets, we experienced a new record...
The question is - given the low in March ’09 and the previous highs exceeded in late April ’13 - is the secular bull market 13 years old or just a little over 8 years old, and does it matter? Not only are the S&P 500 and Nasdaq bumping all-time highs, but Europe and ...
Fixed income CEF discounts continue to tighten and are approaching 20-year highs. This won't last for long. Part II of this report will focus on when this ends. Muni CEFs remain a better value than taxables but there are small pockets of opportunity in the taxable side if you look and...
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2024-04-22 12:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-05 05:00:55 ET Look, this worry that inflation will stick around forever is ridiculously overblown. It’s only a matter of time before it settles out. Heck, it’s already starting to happen: Last week’s personal consumption expenditures (PCE) print for January...
PGIM High Yield Bond Fund, Inc. (NYSE: ISD), PGIM Global High Yield Fund, Inc. (NYSE: GHY) and PGIM Short Duration High Yield Opportunities Fund (NYSE: SDHY) declared today monthly distributions for March, April, and May 2024. The distribution amounts and schedule for each fund appears below: ...