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The expected risk premium continued sliding in April for the Global Markets Index (GMI). Tuesday’s revision reflects a drop to a 5.4% annualized increase for the long term – a relatively large cut of 40 basis points from last month’s estimate. The forecast ref...
We had another down week nearly across all asset classes with the markets shedding nearly 3% and the Nasdaq nearly 4%. Fixed income was also down. Nothing worked. Yields were up again with the 10-year touching 2.95% on the week but finishing at 2.90%. Oil was down $5 to $101/bl and th...
The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index ticked slightly higher in March to an annualized 5.8% pace, fractionally above last month’s estimate. Using short-term momentum and medium-term mean-reversion market factors (defined below) to adjust the forecast trims GMI...
GHY is a high yield bond fund with a tilt towards global positioning, roughly 55% of the portfolio is outside the U.S. Russia and Ukraine's exposure combined, as of January 31st, 2022, had been rather minimal. The fund has been declining, but its share price has been outpacing the...
HIPS is an income fund invested in CEFs, MLPs, REITs, and BDCs. The high yield comes with a high expense ratio and share price decay. The current distribution per share doesn’t look sustainable in the long term. An alternative high-yield strategy taking into account tot...
Today, we are looking at how to tell if a fund might be paying a sustainable distribution or not. We use several examples covering both fixed-income and equity funds to help highlight their differences. Overall, fixed-income funds are more straightforward to analyze than equity fu...
The market rallied back from two and a half weeks of losses to finish the week in the green. The "sell the rumor, buy the news" adage comes to mind. It is unlikely we are out of the woods just yet - especially if the war escalates to include neighbors, or worse, NATO. I would be cauti...
As the world reels from the crisis, the blowback is rippling across the world economy and markets. The current risk premia analysis implicitly recommends managing expectations down for GMI and other global multi-asset-class portfolios. The mean reversion factor is estimated as the...
PGIM High Yield Bond Fund, Inc. (NYSE: ISD), PGIM Global High Yield Fund, Inc. (NYSE: GHY) and PGIM Short Duration High Yield Opportunities Fund (NYSE: SDHY) declared today monthly distributions for March, April and May 2022. The distribution amounts and schedule for each fund appears b...
The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index edged down in January from the previous month’s estimate. Using short-term momentum and medium-term mean-reversion market factors to adjust the forecast reduces GMI’s ex-ante risk premium to an annualized 5.4%. Th...
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2024-07-12 12:18:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
PGIM High Yield Bond Fund, Inc. (NYSE: ISD), PGIM Global High Yield Fund, Inc. (NYSE: GHY) and PGIM Short Duration High Yield Opportunities Fund (NYSE: SDHY) declared today monthly distributions for June, July and August 2024. The distribution amounts and schedule for each fund appears below: ...
2024-04-22 12:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...