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Summary Markets may be underestimating the stickiness of inflation and central banks’ determination to beat it - and what that means for growth and corporate earnings potential. We favor fixed income and credit over equities, and investment grade over high yield. Should infla...
Summary A historic 2022 taught us to widen the lens of possible scenarios, factor in geopolitical risk and use a new playbook for more frequent portfolio changes. Global stocks ended the year down 18%, while bonds fell 16%. This marked the biggest market storm in decades amid inflation ...
Summary Amid the crosscurrents, two themes have prevailed during the post-pandemic years, which lend some perspective to the macroeconomic roadmap ahead: namely, the bipolar swings in macro policy and the forces of economic normalization. After one of the worst years for fixed income as...
Summary Rate hikes and tighter financial conditions drove fixed-income returns lower in 2022. The broad repricing of bonds and the higher starting yields we have now can help insulate investors from further losses. If we look at international bonds, this is probably the first ...
Summary Year-to-date, allocations to floating rate notes have resulted in a more than 20% performance differential compared to U.S. 10-Year notes. Rising rates explain why owning the same securities as the Agg but reducing the maturity profile (1–5 years) led to losses that...
Summary The Great Financial Crisis taught us about the extraordinary capacity of central bank balance sheets and fiscal authorities to absorb financial shocks and mitigate the effect of massive deleveraging. The politicians and monetary policymakers have become too used to their s...
Summary With inflation dominating the global landscape, asset-class diversification has been fleeting. It’s tempting for US investors to focus on their home-field yield advantage and forego opportunities abroad. We believe that by expanding the fixed-income opportunity ...
Summary A global strategy does a better job of providing the stability, income and diversification against riskier equities that investors expect from a core bond portfolio. Currency hedging can be implemented cheaply and effectively with currency forwards and futures. Today, ...
Portfolio Manager Jack McIntyre explains how the global economy arrived at where it is today, and where it may be headed in terms of inflationary pressures and economic activity. He also provides a road map for asset allocation based on the outlook for inflation and growth. We cou...
Many market pundits have advocated a strategy of “buying the dip” after significant selloffs, but does it always make sense to do so? Our analysis of asset performance following geopolitical events, alongside a deteriorating macro context, lead us to prefer a nimble and ...
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2024-04-22 12:58:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-21 09:18:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-01-19 22:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...