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2023-06-05 19:35:00 ET Summary The US may be adding jobs in huge numbers, but the key ISM business surveys cast serious doubt on how long this can last. The manufacturing ISM index is already indicating recession and the service sector will soon join it unless order books turn aro...
2023-06-05 08:07:19 ET Summary A new 2023/24 study continues the trading studies from 2017 testing abnormal Russell Index reconstitution returns from scholarly literature. Since 2017 the best return results from a Russell anomaly test generated +57.90% in the first six months and ...
2023-06-02 22:30:00 ET Summary The service sector has historically kept the US economy afloat during manufacturing contractions, allowing for a "soft landing" scenario. The monetary conditions index suggests economic growth will pick up later this year, which could explain the sto...
2023-06-02 03:05:00 ET Summary Recessions are generally associated with lousy labor markets. Unlike many other countries, the US official (NBER) definition of recession does not involve two negative quarters, but lots of people wrongly believe it does. It will be interesting t...
2023-05-31 21:03:00 ET Summary Large-cap U.S. equities have rallied year-to-date by approximately nine percent (as of May 29th) and appear to show resiliency in the face of a potential recession. The outperformance of the ‘Big 8’ group has seen its market cap weight ...
2023-05-24 10:45:00 ET Summary Rarely in the history of US economic analysis have recession forecasts been so plentiful and widely embraced. This week’s issue of the newsletter sent to subscribers continues to report a firmer reading of economic activity for the immediate f...
2023-05-22 10:30:00 ET Summary We’ve seen this movie before... gold did ok, but what about stocks? The last time we saw this preference for gold was 10 years ago. Why? Waiting for the last shoe to drop is not a recipe for market success. Markets are forward-loo...
2023-05-20 07:00:00 ET Summary In the US, recent growth has been positive, the labor market has been resilient, and inflation appears to have peaked. Despite current rosy macro data, many forecasters see two clouds on the horizon: recession and inflation. Acknowledging the goo...
2023-05-20 06:00:00 ET Summary While virtually no global market segment escaped the turmoil of the past year, US large cap equities were dealt a particularly sharp blow. As defensive industries have cycled into favor, the market turmoil has led many investors to seek a defensive s...
2023-05-20 04:30:00 ET Summary So far, the world of investing in 2023 is proving to be very different from 2022. In early May, the Fed raised interest rates above 5% for the first time since 2007. Investors are asking questions about whether rates will stop rising and if infla...
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2024-07-12 13:28:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-22 16:06:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-22 02:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...