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2023-12-12 11:56:00 ET Summary The probability the U.S. economy will experience an official period of recession sometime in the next twelve months continued to recede during the past six weeks, currently standing at 67%. The probability peaked at 80.8% on 25 July 2023, just before...
2023-12-08 02:30:00 ET Summary Recent US inflation data shows that core PCE is close to the Fed's 2% target, indicating that the Fed may be done with its hiking cycle. The peak in the 10-year Treasury may have already been reached, with a 70 basis point decline in November. Th...
2023-12-06 22:50:00 ET Summary The US was supposed to be in recession by now, according to numerous forecasts from early in 2023. GDP surged in the third quarter, dealing a body blow to expectations that a downturn was imminent. The latest narrative making the rounds: the weak...
2023-12-05 03:04:00 ET Summary Has inflation been tamed? Maybe not. Why the Canadian and U.S. economies are moving in different directions. Can Canada avoid a recession? Recent economic data has signaled so-called “sticky” inflation may be showing sig...
2023-12-02 08:10:00 ET Summary Invesco's 2024 Investment Outlook discusses the balancing act between controlling inflation and preventing economic deterioration. The Federal Reserve is expected to begin cutting interest rates by the end of the first half of 2024. Investors sho...
2023-12-01 08:25:00 ET Summary Wall Street economists predict a "soft landing" or no recession in 2024, despite recessionary indicators suggesting otherwise. The yield curve inversion is a warning sign of a recession, with the un-inversion marking the start of the recession. O...
2023-11-24 02:30:00 ET Summary The economy continues to experience respectable growth, with the advanced report on third quarter GDP showing the economy grew 4.9%. This follows the second quarter GDP growth rate of 2.1%. Also showing favorable results are company earnings reports ...
2023-11-21 20:30:00 ET Summary There was a government-spending-fuelled burst of economic activity in the US during the third quarter of this year that led to a high GDP growth number being reported for the quarter. Continuous Claims bottomed in September 2022, moved higher into Ap...
2023-11-21 20:15:00 ET Summary There is a gradual thawing of the pessimism that has wracked equity prices since the end of 2021. The important economic trends continued to trend higher despite most investors expecting a recession that has not occurred and not likely to occur near ...
2023-11-21 09:48:00 ET Summary From the standpoint of systematic monetary policy, the Federal Funds rate remains below, not above, levels that have historically been consistent with prevailing core inflation, output, employment, and sales. Emphatically, our investment discipline i...
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2024-07-02 16:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-22 17:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-21 12:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...