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Capital expenditure expectations appear to have recovered from pre-pandemic levels in most major regions and are trending upwards according to analyst estimates. For the U.S. index, the 12-month forward capital expenditures estimate is currently $885.6 billion, up 13.8% year-over-year...
The problem with chasing performance is that “what’s currently hot” becomes “what’s not”. With the Federal Reserve pumping in $120 billion a month in liquidity, “stocks have nowhere to go but up”. Performance chasing investor...
Buffett Indicator and Shiller CAPE ratio flash warnings. S&P 500 and NASDAQ-100 QQQ mirror 2000 peak. Inflation will deflate market price-to-earnings multiple. Inflation will hurt tech margins but help commodity cyclicals. For further details see: Major Warning S...
The projected risk premium for the Global Market held steady in July at an annualized 6.0%, unchanged from the previous month. Despite the recent bounce, GMI’s trailing 10-year performance remains well below the previous 8%-plus peak. No one really knows what risk premia wi...
A marked fall in business optimism in July hints that companies could become reticent to expand capacity while the pandemic continues to hit supply chains. Output growth continued to run behind the growth of new orders for a fifth straight month, meaning backlogs of work rose sharply ...
The Delta variant of the coronavirus is rattling markets and poses real risks, but we should not be distracted from the successful impact of vaccinations. The effectiveness of vaccinations is the reason U.S. real GDP is back to pre-crisis levels amid this still-raging pandemic. Gl...
The S&P 500 led the US market in July, gaining 2.4% and extending its year-to-date return to 18%. China’s ongoing regulatory crackdown battered Chinese tech stocks last month, with the effects rippling throughout global equity markets, but especially those in Asia. Long...
While it did not get a lot of attention, Congress failed to increase the debt ceiling this past weekend. We have been told many, many times that, if they failed to increase the debt ceiling in the past, it would have serious negative repercussions for financial markets. It seems w...
With large shares of populations vaccinated, case counts are no longer a good predictor of fatalities arising from Covid-19. Hospitalization might prove better (and ICU hospitalizations even better). Obviously, Florida remains a big problem when you consider its 21 million population,...
The Commerce Department announced that sales of new homes declined 6.6% in June to an annual pace of 676,000, which is a post-pandemic monthly low. May’s new home sales were revised lower to an annual pace of 724,000, down from 769,000 previously reported. Durable goods orders ...
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2024-07-02 16:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-22 17:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-21 12:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...