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The stock market is historically overvalued. The stock market is overbought on long-term charts. Large caps stocks can easily correct 20%-30%, certain Meme and Zombie stocks could be much worse. The Fed, as always, will play a pivotal role in how deep of a decline we see, watc...
Since 1871, there have only been 12 occurrences of 6-month or greater stretches of positive returns before a negative month appeared. At the current time, there is no concern about “risk” in the financial markets as the “bullish bias” remains unfettered. ...
Any disappointment in key US data today is likely to see a larger reaction than a consensus beat. Markets are primed for hints of further deceleration, sentiment already dampened by the spreading delta variant and geopolitics. More concrete hints on the Fed taper will be needed fo...
Senator Joe Manchin (D-WV) is “deeply concerned” about the Fed’s easy money policy and urged the Fed to curtail its aggressive intervention in the bond market. This raises questions about whether or not the Fed might taper sooner than expected. I believe the Fed w...
Numerous multi-decade extremes support a bearish conclusion for U.S. equities. The media has featured numerous articles about how there has been a rotation among equity sectors. The assumption which underlies almost all of these analyses is that we are in a bull market and that the se...
Traders quietly fret about what may come out of the Fed’s Jackson Hole, Wyoming summit scheduled for August 26-28. The mainstream view that we are in a housing bubble may be misguided and perhaps completely wrong. Options players continue to play a cautiously bullish game. ...
Since bonds are loans to borrowers, a bond’s interest rate is tied to the prevailing rate environment at the time of issuance. Historically speaking, from the time yield curves begin to invert, the span to the next recession runs roughly 9-months. However, note that yield curve...
We believe ignoring the effects of climate change on portfolios is not an option, and the window for investors to position portfolios may be shrinking. The U.S. Senate passed a $1.2 trillion infrastructure bill that now awaits a House vote. Congress will take up the $3.5 trillion spen...
My theory is that the Crypto market is acting like an escape valve for stocks. Most selloffs happen when a stock or stocks are overbought. The rampant trading in Crypto attracts both professional traders and the retail crowd preventing "Irrational Exuberance". When getting out...
The volatility of the dollar does present some problems for the world but, for better or worse, it is the world’s reserve currency and I see no real threat to that status on the horizon. I positioned our portfolios for a weak dollar period early last summer and maintained those...
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2024-07-02 16:46:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-22 17:54:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-21 12:14:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...