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The spectacular collapse of Archegos marks a significant inflection point, ushering in a tightening of lending conditions at the "margin" for increasingly vulnerable bubbles. In contrast to the previous bubble period, government "money" has been a principal bubble fuel. Policymakers h...
For the February period, job openings equal nearly 7.4 million and are approaching the peak job openings level of 7.5 million reached in late 2018. This represents a positive sign that economic activity is increasing and businesses are experiencing increasing demand; hence, the need f...
With more debt and levered risk-taking globally today than ever before, the consensus is betting that this rate cycle will be different and not prompt the next wave of financial instability and risk-aversion. In the meantime, higher yields/interest rates are weighing on a debt-soaked,...
Recently released data from March suggests that the economic recovery is gaining momentum across Europe. IHS Markit’s manufacturing PMI (purchasing managers’ index) for the eurozone reached a level of 62.5 last month. The developments in Greenland are a reminder that...
The Fed has clearly signaled they are not worried about inflation and that should worry financial markets. The US economy is about to run hot and investors should continue to expect stronger inflationary pressures with the next few months of US data. All eyes will be on the March ...
The market is set up for a melt-up in the coming weeks. I will outline the parameters for the melt-up to 4400SPX. While maintaining a bullish bias, we still must adhere to our risk management standards. For further details see: Sentiment Speaks: Time For A Market Melt-Up...
Total consumer credit outstanding rose $330.9 billion at an annual rate to $4,205.8 billion in February, a 7.9 percent increase from the prior month. Within the total, revolving credit, primarily credit cards, totaled $974.4 billion, an 11.2 percent decline over the past year, while n...
Normalizing interest rates to the 5% level will slash corporate profits by 1/3 and lead to an insolvent corporate bond market. Capping rates through yield curve control will ensure that pension systems do not meet their 7.5% return requirement. I believe yield curve control and a ...
The macroeconomic backdrop is positive. The indexes have had a very strong one-year run. There are facts to support the argument that the markets have topped out for the rest of the year. For further details see: Counter-Factual: The Markets Are Done For The Year (T...
Despite the recent breakout in the S&P 500, the stock market is NOT in a "bubble". Global PMI reports continue to impress and support the Bullish price action. Despite the continuing roadblocks, the latest JOLTS report indicates the labor market is in extraordinary shape. ...
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BTC iShares Morningstar Large-Cap ETF Company Name:
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BlackRock today announced a series of product enhancements to the iShares Morningstar U.S. Equity Style Box ETFs. The changes to each of the nine funds outlined below are expected to be implemented no earlier than March 19, 2021. - Continued – - Continued - - Continue...