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2023-07-03 10:38:00 ET Summary Despite hawkish policymakers and very mixed economic data, the approaching plateau in rates brings more clarity and conviction to our fixed income views. The peak in rates will come as a relief for some, but if they stay at high levels it will keep t...
2023-07-01 05:50:00 ET Summary Mezzanine conduit CMBS are trading at levels well wide of historical relationships to investment grade and high yield corporates, reflecting concerns about higher expected defaults and loan extension risk. The challenges facing office properties are ...
2023-06-28 04:52:00 ET Summary Higher for longer interest rates support allocations to high quality fixed income. Equity markets are priced for an optimistic outcome; investors may want to consider steering towards a defensive stance. Trends such as demographics and artificial...
2023-06-27 03:05:00 ET Summary Striking the right balance between interest-rate and credit risk can be a good idea in the late stages of a credit cycle. We think it’s a particularly good idea in this credit cycle. Why? Consider that over the last 18 months, investors have g...
2023-06-22 08:56:00 ET Summary In the United States, 30-year mortgage rates play a big role in determining how affordable housing is for American households. As important as they are however, the historical data for mortgage rates is surprisingly lacking. Because housing sales...
2023-06-16 22:06:00 ET Summary The Committee released a new Summary of Economic Projections, which showed slow 2023 growth at 1.0%, though somewhat stronger than the 0.4% projected in March. Powell suggested that housing costs, among the key drivers of inflation now, have had a ve...
2023-06-14 23:16:00 ET Summary With this skip, the Fed has hiked by 500 basis points in 15 months. Core CPI, which, on a month-to-month basis, accelerated for the second month in a row, and hasn’t improved at all in seven months. The median projection for the federal fu...
2023-06-12 03:22:00 ET Summary Considering the March banking crisis, non-financial debt growth was tepid for the second straight quarter. With its AAA rating and attractive liquidity profile, GSE obligations are the perfect asset for money market funds. A spike in yields would...
2023-06-06 10:43:00 ET Summary The reduction in new home sale prices in April 2023 combined with a small reduction in mortgage rates to boost their affordability. After increasing to 6.5% in March 2023, the average interest rate on a 30-year conventional mortgage dipped back to 6....
2023-06-03 02:19:00 ET Summary The Fed saw a reduction in its balance sheet of $177M. The majority of this was actually in Treasuries with less than 1-year maturity, totaling $102B. MBS fell short of the $35B reduction target yet again, seeing only $17.6B roll off the balance shee...
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2024-06-12 19:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-01 03:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-12 04:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...