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2023-09-22 01:10:00 ET Summary One could use the word anomaly for Q3 of the stock market. S&P 500 performance for the first two months of the quarter was driven by the “magnificent seven” large-cap tech-oriented stocks. In my opinion, the issue of concentration v...
2023-09-21 12:35:00 ET Summary A tripling of US mortgage rates constrained both the demand and supply of housing, leaving existing home sales at post-GFC lows. Mortgage rates will rise further in the wake of the market's reaction to yesterday's Fed forecasts, further constraining ...
2023-09-20 20:15:00 ET Summary As was widely expected, the Fed kept the Fed Funds Rate target unchanged at the September FOMC meeting. As a result, the trading range remains at 5.25%–5.50%. While the policymakers continue to keep their options open for another potential rat...
2023-09-20 01:45:00 ET Summary At the start of the year, many investors predicted 2023 would be the year of the bond. Instead, while fixed income returns have struggled, US equities have delivered double-digit returns. Stocks have benefited from conservative investor positioning a...
2023-09-13 08:40:00 ET Summary In a volatile economic environment, core commercial and multifamily mortgage loan investments may provide investors with an attractive credit risk profile, appealing relative value, and diversification benefits. From a relative value perspective, CML...
2023-09-13 01:40:00 ET Summary According to data from the National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI), the average number of severe events per year has increased over time, as have the financial and human costs. So far this year, there have been 23 confirmed weather-rela...
2023-09-09 06:15:00 ET Summary AIER's Business Conditions Monthly indicators show mixed results in July 2023, with the Leading Indicator reaching its highest level since June 2021. The Roughly Coincident Indicator remains unchanged, while the Lagging Indicator shifts from slight c...
2023-09-06 23:50:00 ET Summary The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow is looking for nearly 6.0 percent annualized third-quarter real GDP growth. Is the coast clear of recession (for now), or is this the last gasp of strength? Monetary policy works with long and variable lags – no...
2023-09-05 13:59:03 ET Summary JMBS is an actively managed ETF focused on producing alpha on mortgage-backed securities. The ETF managers employ leverage to give an extra push to long allocations focused on agency MBS. There is downside risk in the event of a recession, but JM...
2023-09-04 10:25:00 ET Summary Thirty-year mortgage rates were over 7 percent at the end of August 2023, a level not seen (other than two isolated weeks) since 2002. Interest rates are higher due to the Federal Reserve’s increases in rates from their near-zero levels. T...
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2024-06-12 19:30:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-06-01 03:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-05-12 04:52:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...