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2023-03-09 05:45:00 ET Summary Investors in emerging markets (EM) have endured a decade of poor performance. Most EM currencies are relatively cheap today. Attractively valued currencies create favorable conditions for EM countries and companies to overcome the challenges amid...
Summary Two key risks could challenge recent market optimism: weaker consumption and a squeeze on corporate profitability. Despite these elevated risks, current credit spreads are not reflective of recessionary risks when compared with historical levels. The opportunity set for inco...
Summary EM could be fairly characterized as having low debt and market-based yields, in contrast to higher-indebted and lower-yielding DM countries. EM’s improved fundamentals deserve a special focus as regards net external creditor status. EM is filled with net external creditor...
Summary Despite softer economic conditions globally, emerging markets (EM) credit fundamentals remain supportive—and while we see some pockets of weakness, especially among energy- and food-importing countries, overall we believe EM debt is well positioned to withstand a period of we...
Summary The impact on EMs of more meaningful U.S. growth (and inflation) slowdown in 2H23 could be mitigated by better behavior from the rest of the world, leading to a further moderation in both the USD and interest rates. If, as we believe, this U.S. slowdown is not too harsh, paradox...
Summary The two key risks of fixed income are interest-rate risk and credit risk. Duration and high yield are often negatively correlated. We like the secured nature of securitized bonds. By Matthew Sheridan, CFA Transcript When we think about gener...
Summary In our view, the balance of demand and supply factors should support oil prices in 2023. Most EM banking systems look better positioned in terms of capital than they were during the Global Financial Crisis. All things considered, we continue to believe that current valuation...
Summary Emerging markets have weathered tightening financial conditions. We now see a relatively good backdrop for EM assets as EM rates peak and China reopens. Stocks added to gains and bond yields fell as markets priced in Federal Reserve rate cuts later in 2023. We don’t think...
Summary Markets may be underestimating the stickiness of inflation and central banks’ determination to beat it - and what that means for growth and corporate earnings potential. We favor fixed income and credit over equities, and investment grade over high yield. Should infla...
Summary Financial markets offered few opportunities for refuge in 2022, and emerging-market bonds were no exception. We expect the past year’s difficult conditions to gradually unwind in 2023, but risks remain. Investors will need to be selective. By Christian DiC...
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2024-06-12 20:02:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-03-23 19:12:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...
2024-02-21 13:10:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...