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2023-07-25 02:30:00 ET Summary Normally, a weak dollar fuels commodity price inflation, but deflationary forces are keeping commodities in check. Russia announced last week that it is pulling out of the international agreement that allows Ukraine to export much of its Black Sea gr...
2023-07-23 09:15:00 ET Summary Despite resilient U.S. growth, the foundations have been laid for a short and shallow recession later this year. Notably, as a U.S. recession will likely be short and shallow, any equity pullback will likely be short and shallow. The following recove...
2023-07-22 05:40:00 ET Summary We’ve been anticipating a recession for some time, but I believe the US economy is too strong to experience one this year. Core inflation has been stubbornly high, but I expect it to fall as the impact of flattening home prices makes its way i...
2023-07-21 22:31:00 ET Summary According to S&P Global Manufacturing PMI data, output growth across emerging economies excluding mainland China recorded its strongest quarterly average for 12 years in the second quarter of 2023. Monetary policy makers in emerging markets were ...
2023-07-21 21:20:00 ET Summary The Fed is going to raise rates on Wednesday and seems poised to be noncommittal with what they will do in September. Last week, China’s top policymakers announced a slew of broad-based plans to boost consumer spending and support for private ...
2023-07-20 00:20:00 ET Summary It was a strong quarter for emerging markets debt despite a mixed economic backdrop around the world. Although Honduras has the capacity to service its debt, we have concerns about its willingness to pay. Bahrain and Oman are still very dependent...
2023-07-19 22:50:00 ET Summary The Sovereign Debt Wave is at a historic peak and appears set to continue growing. With higher inflation and reduced liquidity, some countries will be able to continue to issue debt easily, while some will not. Franklin Templeton Institute’...
2023-07-19 20:25:00 ET Summary After arguably the worst year on modern record in 2022, it was our belief that this year was set up to be a potential positive experience for the bond investor. Despite continued rate hikes from the Federal Reserve and other global central banks, fix...
2023-07-18 09:35:00 ET Summary The Consumer Price Index rose just 0.2% in June - and only 3% in the past 12 months - very close to the Fed’s 2% goal. Producer Price Index provided even better news, as it rose only 0.1% in June, the slowest rate in almost three years. Treasu...
2023-07-17 13:50:00 ET Summary While the market is focused on reported inflation, consumers are not. The current large-cap, growth leadership is unlikely to lead competitive investors much longer. We have been in a “bear market” with rallies for almost 2 years. T...
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2024-01-04 14:20:00 ET Stock Traders Daily has produced this trading report using a proprietary method. This methodology seeks to optimize the entry and exit levels to maximize results and limit risk, and it is also applied to Index options, ETFs, and futures for our subscribers. This...